More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century
Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperatur...
| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2021-02-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w |
| _version_ | 1818846201761497088 |
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| author | Nicola Maher Scott B. Power Jochem Marotzke |
| author_facet | Nicola Maher Scott B. Power Jochem Marotzke |
| author_sort | Nicola Maher |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Uncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperature and precipitation projections. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-19T05:41:48Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-cb1ace9d745a46b2b5f0f0bf2ad9b4c4 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-19T05:41:48Z |
| publishDate | 2021-02-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-cb1ace9d745a46b2b5f0f0bf2ad9b4c42022-12-21T20:34:00ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232021-02-0112111310.1038/s41467-020-20635-wMore accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming centuryNicola Maher0Scott B. Power1Jochem Marotzke2Max Planck Institute for MeteorologySchool of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash UniversityMax Planck Institute for MeteorologyUncertainty in estimates of future climate arises not only from internal variability, but also from model-to-model differences. Here, the authors use a new set of single model initial-condition large ensembles to quantify the contribution of model differences to the overall uncertainty in temperature and precipitation projections.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w |
| spellingShingle | Nicola Maher Scott B. Power Jochem Marotzke More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century Nature Communications |
| title | More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
| title_full | More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
| title_fullStr | More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
| title_full_unstemmed | More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
| title_short | More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
| title_sort | more accurate quantification of model to model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-20635-w |
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