Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data

Background: Propensity score (PS) methods are frequently used within economic evaluations based on nonrandomized data to adjust for measured confounders, but many researchers omit the fact that they cannot adjust for unmeasured confounders. Objective: To illustrate how confounding due to unmeasured...

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Main Authors: Jason R. Guertin MSc, PhD, James M. Bowen BScPhm, MSc, Guy De Rose BSc, MD, Daria J. O’Reilly MSc, PhD, Jean-Eric Tarride MA, PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2017-03-01
Series:MDM Policy & Practice
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/2381468317697711
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author Jason R. Guertin MSc, PhD
James M. Bowen BScPhm, MSc
Guy De Rose BSc, MD
Daria J. O’Reilly MSc, PhD
Jean-Eric Tarride MA, PhD
author_facet Jason R. Guertin MSc, PhD
James M. Bowen BScPhm, MSc
Guy De Rose BSc, MD
Daria J. O’Reilly MSc, PhD
Jean-Eric Tarride MA, PhD
author_sort Jason R. Guertin MSc, PhD
collection DOAJ
description Background: Propensity score (PS) methods are frequently used within economic evaluations based on nonrandomized data to adjust for measured confounders, but many researchers omit the fact that they cannot adjust for unmeasured confounders. Objective: To illustrate how confounding due to unmeasured confounders can bias an economic evaluation despite PS matching. Methods: We used data from a previously published nonrandomized study to select a prematched population consisting of 121 patients (46.5%) who received endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and 139 patients (53.5%) who received open surgical repair (OSR), in which sufficient data regarding eight measured confounders were available. One-to-one PS matching was used within this population to select two PS-matched subpopulations. The Matched PS-Smoking Excluded Subpopulation was selected by matching patients using a PS model that omitted patients’ smoking status (one of the measured confounders), whereas the Matched PS-Smoking Included Subpopulation was selected by matching patients using a PS model that included all eight measured confounders. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were assessed within both subpopulations. Results: Both subpopulations were composed of two different sets of 164 patients. Balance within the Matched PS-Smoking Excluded Subpopulation was achieved on all confounders except for patients’ smoking status, whereas balance within the Matched PS-Smoking Included Subpopulation was achieved on all confounders. Results indicated that the ICER of EVAR over OSR differed between both subpopulations; the ICER was estimated at $157,909 per life-year gained (LYG) within the Matched PS-Smoking Excluded Subpopulation, while it was estimated at $235,074 per LYG within the Matched PS-Smoking Included Subpopulation. Discussion: Although effective in controlling for measured confounding, PS matching may not adjust for unmeasured confounders that may bias the results of an economic evaluation based on nonrandomized data.
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spelling doaj.art-cb1f1a3bf0a24702819b75c41cf262022022-12-21T19:00:39ZengSAGE PublishingMDM Policy & Practice2381-46832017-03-01210.1177/2381468317697711Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized DataJason R. Guertin MSc, PhDJames M. Bowen BScPhm, MScGuy De Rose BSc, MDDaria J. O’Reilly MSc, PhDJean-Eric Tarride MA, PhDBackground: Propensity score (PS) methods are frequently used within economic evaluations based on nonrandomized data to adjust for measured confounders, but many researchers omit the fact that they cannot adjust for unmeasured confounders. Objective: To illustrate how confounding due to unmeasured confounders can bias an economic evaluation despite PS matching. Methods: We used data from a previously published nonrandomized study to select a prematched population consisting of 121 patients (46.5%) who received endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) and 139 patients (53.5%) who received open surgical repair (OSR), in which sufficient data regarding eight measured confounders were available. One-to-one PS matching was used within this population to select two PS-matched subpopulations. The Matched PS-Smoking Excluded Subpopulation was selected by matching patients using a PS model that omitted patients’ smoking status (one of the measured confounders), whereas the Matched PS-Smoking Included Subpopulation was selected by matching patients using a PS model that included all eight measured confounders. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were assessed within both subpopulations. Results: Both subpopulations were composed of two different sets of 164 patients. Balance within the Matched PS-Smoking Excluded Subpopulation was achieved on all confounders except for patients’ smoking status, whereas balance within the Matched PS-Smoking Included Subpopulation was achieved on all confounders. Results indicated that the ICER of EVAR over OSR differed between both subpopulations; the ICER was estimated at $157,909 per life-year gained (LYG) within the Matched PS-Smoking Excluded Subpopulation, while it was estimated at $235,074 per LYG within the Matched PS-Smoking Included Subpopulation. Discussion: Although effective in controlling for measured confounding, PS matching may not adjust for unmeasured confounders that may bias the results of an economic evaluation based on nonrandomized data.https://doi.org/10.1177/2381468317697711
spellingShingle Jason R. Guertin MSc, PhD
James M. Bowen BScPhm, MSc
Guy De Rose BSc, MD
Daria J. O’Reilly MSc, PhD
Jean-Eric Tarride MA, PhD
Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data
MDM Policy & Practice
title Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data
title_full Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data
title_fullStr Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data
title_full_unstemmed Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data
title_short Illustration of the Impact of Unmeasured Confounding Within an Economic Evaluation Based on Nonrandomized Data
title_sort illustration of the impact of unmeasured confounding within an economic evaluation based on nonrandomized data
url https://doi.org/10.1177/2381468317697711
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