A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application

It is of great practical significance to fit and predict actual time series. Based on the theories of time series analysis and unconstrained optimization, a new spectral conjugate gradient method–autoregressive integrated moving average combined model (FHS spectral CG–ARIMA combined model) is propos...

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Main Authors: Rui Shan, Guofang Wang, Wei Huang, Jingyi Zhao, Wen Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2018-09-01
Series:Journal of Algorithms & Computational Technology
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/1748301818779004
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author Rui Shan
Guofang Wang
Wei Huang
Jingyi Zhao
Wen Liu
author_facet Rui Shan
Guofang Wang
Wei Huang
Jingyi Zhao
Wen Liu
author_sort Rui Shan
collection DOAJ
description It is of great practical significance to fit and predict actual time series. Based on the theories of time series analysis and unconstrained optimization, a new spectral conjugate gradient method–autoregressive integrated moving average combined model (FHS spectral CG–ARIMA combined model) is proposed to fit and predict the actual time series. First, combining the characteristics and advantages of different CG methods, we propose Fang–Hestenes–Stiefel algorithm (FHS). FHS satisfies the automatic descent property and has global convergence under the reasonable assumptions and Wolfe search. Second, many numerical results have been given there: compared with other related algorithms, FHS algorithm has obvious advantages. Third, FHS spectral CG–ARIMA combined model is given in detail. Fourth, the combined model is applied to fit the actual time series and the fitting effect is found to be remarkable.
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spelling doaj.art-cb216d47558947c6abe60e5998a1bd8c2022-12-21T23:11:43ZengSAGE PublishingJournal of Algorithms & Computational Technology1748-30181748-30262018-09-011210.1177/1748301818779004A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and applicationRui ShanGuofang WangWei HuangJingyi ZhaoWen LiuIt is of great practical significance to fit and predict actual time series. Based on the theories of time series analysis and unconstrained optimization, a new spectral conjugate gradient method–autoregressive integrated moving average combined model (FHS spectral CG–ARIMA combined model) is proposed to fit and predict the actual time series. First, combining the characteristics and advantages of different CG methods, we propose Fang–Hestenes–Stiefel algorithm (FHS). FHS satisfies the automatic descent property and has global convergence under the reasonable assumptions and Wolfe search. Second, many numerical results have been given there: compared with other related algorithms, FHS algorithm has obvious advantages. Third, FHS spectral CG–ARIMA combined model is given in detail. Fourth, the combined model is applied to fit the actual time series and the fitting effect is found to be remarkable.https://doi.org/10.1177/1748301818779004
spellingShingle Rui Shan
Guofang Wang
Wei Huang
Jingyi Zhao
Wen Liu
A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application
Journal of Algorithms & Computational Technology
title A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application
title_full A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application
title_fullStr A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application
title_full_unstemmed A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application
title_short A new spectral conjugate gradient method and ARIMA combined forecasting model and application
title_sort new spectral conjugate gradient method and arima combined forecasting model and application
url https://doi.org/10.1177/1748301818779004
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