Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach

To analyse and predict the healing time of upper limb fractures in children, machine learning algorithms were used. Paediatric orthopaedic data was obtained from the University Malaya Medical Centre. The data set includes radiographs of upper limb fractures involving the radius, ulna, and humerus in...

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Main Authors: Chia Fong Lau, Sorayya Malek, Roshan Gunalan, WH Chee, A Saw, Firdaus Aziz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:All Life
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26895293.2022.2064923
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author Chia Fong Lau
Sorayya Malek
Roshan Gunalan
WH Chee
A Saw
Firdaus Aziz
author_facet Chia Fong Lau
Sorayya Malek
Roshan Gunalan
WH Chee
A Saw
Firdaus Aziz
author_sort Chia Fong Lau
collection DOAJ
description To analyse and predict the healing time of upper limb fractures in children, machine learning algorithms were used. Paediatric orthopaedic data was obtained from the University Malaya Medical Centre. The data set includes radiographs of upper limb fractures involving the radius, ulna, and humerus in children under the age of twelve, with ages recorded from the date and time of initial injury. Inputs assessment included: age, gender, bone type, the number of bones involved, fracture type, angulation and the distance of the fracture. Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) algorithms were used to predict and identify variables associated with fracture healing time. Self Organizing Maps was then used for visualization and ordination of factors associated with healing time. Algorithms performance was measured using root mean square error (RMSE). A significant determinant in fracture healing includes age, bone part, fracture angulation, and distance. The Wilcoxon signed ranked test reported there is a significant difference between the prediction result of the SVR model (RMSE = 2.56) and the RF model (RMSE =  2.66). Predicting healing time can be used in the treatment process and follow up period for general practitioners and medical officers. The algorithm is deployed online at https://kidsfractureexpert.com/.
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spelling doaj.art-cb794e229a864d01b475feadb83b3f5c2024-03-28T09:48:50ZengTaylor & Francis GroupAll Life2689-53072022-12-0115149049910.1080/26895293.2022.20649232064923Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approachChia Fong Lau0Sorayya Malek1Roshan Gunalan2WH Chee3A Saw4Firdaus Aziz5University of MalayaUniversity of MalayaUniversity of MalayaUniversity of MalayaUniversity of MalayaUniversity of MalayaTo analyse and predict the healing time of upper limb fractures in children, machine learning algorithms were used. Paediatric orthopaedic data was obtained from the University Malaya Medical Centre. The data set includes radiographs of upper limb fractures involving the radius, ulna, and humerus in children under the age of twelve, with ages recorded from the date and time of initial injury. Inputs assessment included: age, gender, bone type, the number of bones involved, fracture type, angulation and the distance of the fracture. Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) algorithms were used to predict and identify variables associated with fracture healing time. Self Organizing Maps was then used for visualization and ordination of factors associated with healing time. Algorithms performance was measured using root mean square error (RMSE). A significant determinant in fracture healing includes age, bone part, fracture angulation, and distance. The Wilcoxon signed ranked test reported there is a significant difference between the prediction result of the SVR model (RMSE = 2.56) and the RF model (RMSE =  2.66). Predicting healing time can be used in the treatment process and follow up period for general practitioners and medical officers. The algorithm is deployed online at https://kidsfractureexpert.com/.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26895293.2022.2064923upper limbpaediatric orthopaedicsupport vector regressionrandom forestself-organising mapsmachine learning
spellingShingle Chia Fong Lau
Sorayya Malek
Roshan Gunalan
WH Chee
A Saw
Firdaus Aziz
Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
All Life
upper limb
paediatric orthopaedic
support vector regression
random forest
self-organising maps
machine learning
title Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
title_full Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
title_fullStr Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
title_full_unstemmed Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
title_short Paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
title_sort paediatric upper limb fracture healing time prediction using a machine learning approach
topic upper limb
paediatric orthopaedic
support vector regression
random forest
self-organising maps
machine learning
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/26895293.2022.2064923
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