Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat

While multiple-country repeated cross-sectional datasets are increasingly available, few cross-national studies fully exploit the richness of such data. This paper contributes to the practical knowledge on statistical analysis of cross-national time series data. For that purpose, we present a novel...

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Main Authors: Bart Meuleman, Eldad Davidov, Jaak Billiet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: GESIS - Leibniz-Institute for the Social Sciences, Mannheim 2018-06-01
Series:Methoden, Daten, Analysen
Subjects:
Online Access:https://mda.gesis.org/index.php/mda/article/view/2017.10/234
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author Bart Meuleman
Eldad Davidov
Jaak Billiet
author_facet Bart Meuleman
Eldad Davidov
Jaak Billiet
author_sort Bart Meuleman
collection DOAJ
description While multiple-country repeated cross-sectional datasets are increasingly available, few cross-national studies fully exploit the richness of such data. This paper contributes to the practical knowledge on statistical analysis of cross-national time series data. For that purpose, we present a novel application of a societal growth curve model (Fairbrother, 2014) analyzing the pressing question whether the economic crisis of the past years has stirred up immigration-related threat perceptions among European citizens. Concretely, we analyze six rounds of European Social Survey data (2002-2012) to investigate whether indicators of economic downturn are systematically related to increased levels of economic and cultural threat. The societal growth curve modeling approach makes it possible to set longitudinal effects apart from cross-sectional differences and thus overcomes the weaknesses of analyses relying on single-shot cross-sectional data. Our results provide evidence that growing unemployment as well as decreasing rates of economic growth instigate feelings of economic threat. Rather than affecting citizens’ opinion uniformly, the economic crisis is found to have the strongest impact on economic threat among low educated people. While this study provides evidence that economic shocks affect concerns that immigration is bad for the economy, feelings of cultural threat are not affected by economic crises.
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spelling doaj.art-cbdb510f15a44bd8a254b462bd1a234a2022-12-21T23:48:47ZengGESIS - Leibniz-Institute for the Social Sciences, MannheimMethoden, Daten, Analysen1864-69562190-49362018-06-0112218521010.12758/mda.2017.10Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic ThreatBart Meuleman0Eldad Davidov1Jaak Billiet2University of LeuvenUniversity of Cologne and University of ZurichUniversity of LeuvenWhile multiple-country repeated cross-sectional datasets are increasingly available, few cross-national studies fully exploit the richness of such data. This paper contributes to the practical knowledge on statistical analysis of cross-national time series data. For that purpose, we present a novel application of a societal growth curve model (Fairbrother, 2014) analyzing the pressing question whether the economic crisis of the past years has stirred up immigration-related threat perceptions among European citizens. Concretely, we analyze six rounds of European Social Survey data (2002-2012) to investigate whether indicators of economic downturn are systematically related to increased levels of economic and cultural threat. The societal growth curve modeling approach makes it possible to set longitudinal effects apart from cross-sectional differences and thus overcomes the weaknesses of analyses relying on single-shot cross-sectional data. Our results provide evidence that growing unemployment as well as decreasing rates of economic growth instigate feelings of economic threat. Rather than affecting citizens’ opinion uniformly, the economic crisis is found to have the strongest impact on economic threat among low educated people. While this study provides evidence that economic shocks affect concerns that immigration is bad for the economy, feelings of cultural threat are not affected by economic crises.https://mda.gesis.org/index.php/mda/article/view/2017.10/234group conflict theoryeconomic vs cultural threatsocietal growth curveseuropean social survey
spellingShingle Bart Meuleman
Eldad Davidov
Jaak Billiet
Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat
Methoden, Daten, Analysen
group conflict theory
economic vs cultural threat
societal growth curves
european social survey
title Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat
title_full Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat
title_fullStr Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat
title_full_unstemmed Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat
title_short Modeling Multiple-country Repeated Cross-sections. A Societal Growth Curve Model for Studying the Effect of the Economic Crisis on Perceived Ethnic Threat
title_sort modeling multiple country repeated cross sections a societal growth curve model for studying the effect of the economic crisis on perceived ethnic threat
topic group conflict theory
economic vs cultural threat
societal growth curves
european social survey
url https://mda.gesis.org/index.php/mda/article/view/2017.10/234
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AT jaakbilliet modelingmultiplecountryrepeatedcrosssectionsasocietalgrowthcurvemodelforstudyingtheeffectoftheeconomiccrisisonperceivedethnicthreat