The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy

In recent decades, the policies of financial and trade liberalization have been considered in most of the world countries, and there are different experiences in this regard. Therefore, this study will review the effects of financial and trade liberalization on the production volatility in Iranian e...

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Main Authors: Mohsen Ebrahimi, Hamid Reza Larti
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2012-09-01
Series:Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
Subjects:
Online Access:https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_938_85c7ecfd032f28c7ee3035b1079f1fc0.pdf
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author Mohsen Ebrahimi
Hamid Reza Larti
author_facet Mohsen Ebrahimi
Hamid Reza Larti
author_sort Mohsen Ebrahimi
collection DOAJ
description In recent decades, the policies of financial and trade liberalization have been considered in most of the world countries, and there are different experiences in this regard. Therefore, this study will review the effects of financial and trade liberalization on the production volatility in Iranian economy (with and without oil sector) by using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model for the period of 1960 to 2007. The results show that in the model that includes oil sector, trade liberalization has positive and significant effect, but financial liberalization has negative and non-significant effect on production volatility. In the model without oil, financial and trade liberalization policies both have a positive and significant effect on production volatility. In addition, the long-term relationships between the variables are approved. The value of error correction coefficient is estimated to be -0.49, which shows the amount of adjustment toward equilibrium values in the long-run. The structural stability tests for the model's strength are acceptable for the period of study.
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spelling doaj.art-cc2aa12df1e44064b92b12dcb71a3df02023-12-26T07:57:56ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University PressFaslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī1735-210X2476-64532012-09-011246126938The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian EconomyMohsen Ebrahimi0Hamid Reza Larti1Associate professor of economics, Bu-Ali-Sina universityM.A student in Economics, Bu-Ali-Sina universityIn recent decades, the policies of financial and trade liberalization have been considered in most of the world countries, and there are different experiences in this regard. Therefore, this study will review the effects of financial and trade liberalization on the production volatility in Iranian economy (with and without oil sector) by using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model for the period of 1960 to 2007. The results show that in the model that includes oil sector, trade liberalization has positive and significant effect, but financial liberalization has negative and non-significant effect on production volatility. In the model without oil, financial and trade liberalization policies both have a positive and significant effect on production volatility. In addition, the long-term relationships between the variables are approved. The value of error correction coefficient is estimated to be -0.49, which shows the amount of adjustment toward equilibrium values in the long-run. The structural stability tests for the model's strength are acceptable for the period of study.https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_938_85c7ecfd032f28c7ee3035b1079f1fc0.pdffinancial liberalizationtrade liberalizationproduction volatilityautoregressive distributed lag (ardl)
spellingShingle Mohsen Ebrahimi
Hamid Reza Larti
The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy
Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
financial liberalization
trade liberalization
production volatility
autoregressive distributed lag (ardl)
title The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy
title_full The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy
title_fullStr The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy
title_full_unstemmed The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy
title_short The effects of Liberalization in Trade and Finance on Production Volatility in Iranian Economy
title_sort effects of liberalization in trade and finance on production volatility in iranian economy
topic financial liberalization
trade liberalization
production volatility
autoregressive distributed lag (ardl)
url https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_938_85c7ecfd032f28c7ee3035b1079f1fc0.pdf
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