Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden

Glacier mass balance is heavily influenced by climate, with responses of individual glaciers to various climate parameters varying greatly. In northern Sweden, Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance has decreased since it started being monitored in 1982. To relate Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance to changes in...

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Main Authors: Moon Taveirne, Laura Ekemar, Berta González Sánchez, Josefine Axelsson, Qiong Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-08-01
Series:Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/8/126
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author Moon Taveirne
Laura Ekemar
Berta González Sánchez
Josefine Axelsson
Qiong Zhang
author_facet Moon Taveirne
Laura Ekemar
Berta González Sánchez
Josefine Axelsson
Qiong Zhang
author_sort Moon Taveirne
collection DOAJ
description Glacier mass balance is heavily influenced by climate, with responses of individual glaciers to various climate parameters varying greatly. In northern Sweden, Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance has decreased since it started being monitored in 1982. To relate Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance to changes in climate, the sensitivity to a range of parameters is computed. Through linear regression of mass balance with temperature, precipitation, humidity, wind speed and incoming radiation the climate sensitivity is established and projections for future summer mass balance are made. Summer mass balance is primarily sensitive to temperature at −0.31 m w.e. per °C change, while winter mass balance is mainly sensitive to precipitation at 0.94 m w.e. per % change. An estimate using summer temperature sensitivity projects a dramatic decrease in summer mass balance to −3.89 m w.e. for the 2091–2100 period under climate scenario RCP8.5. With large increases in temperature anticipated for the next century, more complex modelling studies of the relationship between climate and glacier mass balance is key to understanding the future development of Rabots Glaciär.
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spelling doaj.art-cc59394c56d34ff0b7a766c70274afa22023-11-22T07:15:00ZengMDPI AGClimate2225-11542021-08-019812610.3390/cli9080126Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, SwedenMoon Taveirne0Laura Ekemar1Berta González Sánchez2Josefine Axelsson3Qiong Zhang4Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, SwedenDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, SwedenDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, SwedenDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, SwedenDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, SE-10691 Stockholm, SwedenGlacier mass balance is heavily influenced by climate, with responses of individual glaciers to various climate parameters varying greatly. In northern Sweden, Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance has decreased since it started being monitored in 1982. To relate Rabots Glaciär’s mass balance to changes in climate, the sensitivity to a range of parameters is computed. Through linear regression of mass balance with temperature, precipitation, humidity, wind speed and incoming radiation the climate sensitivity is established and projections for future summer mass balance are made. Summer mass balance is primarily sensitive to temperature at −0.31 m w.e. per °C change, while winter mass balance is mainly sensitive to precipitation at 0.94 m w.e. per % change. An estimate using summer temperature sensitivity projects a dramatic decrease in summer mass balance to −3.89 m w.e. for the 2091–2100 period under climate scenario RCP8.5. With large increases in temperature anticipated for the next century, more complex modelling studies of the relationship between climate and glacier mass balance is key to understanding the future development of Rabots Glaciär.https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/8/126glacier mass balanceclimate sensitivitymass balance predictionRabots Glaciär
spellingShingle Moon Taveirne
Laura Ekemar
Berta González Sánchez
Josefine Axelsson
Qiong Zhang
Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden
Climate
glacier mass balance
climate sensitivity
mass balance prediction
Rabots Glaciär
title Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden
title_full Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden
title_fullStr Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden
title_full_unstemmed Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden
title_short Mass Balance Sensitivity and Future Projections of Rabots Glaciär, Sweden
title_sort mass balance sensitivity and future projections of rabots glaciar sweden
topic glacier mass balance
climate sensitivity
mass balance prediction
Rabots Glaciär
url https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/9/8/126
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