Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers

Study region: The upper reach of the Yangtze River (URYR) basin, China. Study focus: There are few studies on the factors driving the change in hydrothermal regime and its ecological response. This study proposes a framework to quantify the impact of climate change and reservoirs on hydrothermal and...

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Main Authors: Wenxian Guo, Huan Yang, Yinchu Ma, Fengtian Hong, Hongxiang Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2022-12-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581822002336
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author Wenxian Guo
Huan Yang
Yinchu Ma
Fengtian Hong
Hongxiang Wang
author_facet Wenxian Guo
Huan Yang
Yinchu Ma
Fengtian Hong
Hongxiang Wang
author_sort Wenxian Guo
collection DOAJ
description Study region: The upper reach of the Yangtze River (URYR) basin, China. Study focus: There are few studies on the factors driving the change in hydrothermal regime and its ecological response. This study proposes a framework to quantify the impact of climate change and reservoirs on hydrothermal and fish reproduction. The framework identifies mutation years of water temperature by the TFPW-MK method and characterizes hydrothermal variability on multiple time scales using hydrologically meaningful indicators (Sample Entropy and Range of Variability Approach). The differences in hydrothermal driving forces are then clarified utilizing the Long Short-Term Memory model and contribution calculation method. In addition, we established water temperature scenarios to assess the ecological effects of hydrothermal alteration. New hydrological insights for the region: After mutation, URYR hydrothermal tends to be uniform. With the increase in hydrothermal complexity, the relative contribution of reservoirs is 98%. On an annual scale, climate change is the dominant factor in river warming. On the seasonal and monthly scales, reservoirs are used as heat sources in autumn and winter, and as cold sources in other seasons. Moreover, the reservoirs have a significant impact on hydrothermal in the non-flood season, especially in March and December, which are − 0.72 °C (48%) and 1.17 °C (87%), respectively. The reservoirs delayed the spawning time for Coreius guichenoti and Myxocyprinus asiaticus but increased the duration of Myxocyprinus asiaticus (19 days).
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spelling doaj.art-cc8e8ea583fd4ff28414c4ad671a12c92022-12-22T03:18:28ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182022-12-0144101220Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated riversWenxian Guo0Huan Yang1Yinchu Ma2Fengtian Hong3Hongxiang Wang4North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, ChinaCorresponding authors.; North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, ChinaNorth China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, ChinaNorth China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, ChinaCorresponding authors.; North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou 450045, ChinaStudy region: The upper reach of the Yangtze River (URYR) basin, China. Study focus: There are few studies on the factors driving the change in hydrothermal regime and its ecological response. This study proposes a framework to quantify the impact of climate change and reservoirs on hydrothermal and fish reproduction. The framework identifies mutation years of water temperature by the TFPW-MK method and characterizes hydrothermal variability on multiple time scales using hydrologically meaningful indicators (Sample Entropy and Range of Variability Approach). The differences in hydrothermal driving forces are then clarified utilizing the Long Short-Term Memory model and contribution calculation method. In addition, we established water temperature scenarios to assess the ecological effects of hydrothermal alteration. New hydrological insights for the region: After mutation, URYR hydrothermal tends to be uniform. With the increase in hydrothermal complexity, the relative contribution of reservoirs is 98%. On an annual scale, climate change is the dominant factor in river warming. On the seasonal and monthly scales, reservoirs are used as heat sources in autumn and winter, and as cold sources in other seasons. Moreover, the reservoirs have a significant impact on hydrothermal in the non-flood season, especially in March and December, which are − 0.72 °C (48%) and 1.17 °C (87%), respectively. The reservoirs delayed the spawning time for Coreius guichenoti and Myxocyprinus asiaticus but increased the duration of Myxocyprinus asiaticus (19 days).http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581822002336Hydrothermal alterationClimate changeReservoirsEcological responseYangtze River
spellingShingle Wenxian Guo
Huan Yang
Yinchu Ma
Fengtian Hong
Hongxiang Wang
Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Hydrothermal alteration
Climate change
Reservoirs
Ecological response
Yangtze River
title Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
title_full Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
title_fullStr Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
title_full_unstemmed Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
title_short Multi-scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
title_sort multi scale impact of climate change and cascade reservoirs on hydrothermal regime alteration in regulated rivers
topic Hydrothermal alteration
Climate change
Reservoirs
Ecological response
Yangtze River
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581822002336
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AT yinchuma multiscaleimpactofclimatechangeandcascadereservoirsonhydrothermalregimealterationinregulatedrivers
AT fengtianhong multiscaleimpactofclimatechangeandcascadereservoirsonhydrothermalregimealterationinregulatedrivers
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