Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques

Anchorage to concrete plays a significant role in various aspects of modern construction. The structural performance of anchors under direct tensile load can lead to failure by concrete cone breakout. Concrete related failure modes are quasi-brittle, and as such, they may develop without prior warni...

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Main Authors: Panagiotis Spyridis, Oladimeji B. Olalusi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-12-01
Series:Materials
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/14/1/62
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author Panagiotis Spyridis
Oladimeji B. Olalusi
author_facet Panagiotis Spyridis
Oladimeji B. Olalusi
author_sort Panagiotis Spyridis
collection DOAJ
description Anchorage to concrete plays a significant role in various aspects of modern construction. The structural performance of anchors under direct tensile load can lead to failure by concrete cone breakout. Concrete related failure modes are quasi-brittle, and as such, they may develop without prior warning indications of damage, while it also exposes the bearing component to damage propagation. As such, an adequate reliability assessment of anchors against concrete cone failure is of high importance, and improved precision and minimisation of uncertainty in the predictive model are critical. This contribution develops predictive models for the tensile breakout capacity of fastening systems in concrete using the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) machine learning (ML) algorithms. The models were developed utilising a set of 864 experimental anchor tests. The efficiency of the developed models is assessed by statistical comparison to the state-of-practice semi-empirical predictive model, which is embedded in international design standards. Furthermore, the algorithms were evaluated based on a newly introduced Model Explainability concept based on Analogous Rational and Mechanical phenomena (MEARM). Finally, a discussion is provided regarding the developed ML models’ suitability for use as General Probabilistic Models in a reliability framework.
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spelling doaj.art-ccd5da65fdf44a6c8a139b960c5697142023-11-21T02:33:36ZengMDPI AGMaterials1996-19442020-12-011416210.3390/ma14010062Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning TechniquesPanagiotis Spyridis0Oladimeji B. Olalusi1Faculty of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Technical University of Dortmund, 44227 Dortmund, GermanyStructural Engineering & Computational Mechanics Group (SECM), Department of Civil Engineering, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban 4001, South AfricaAnchorage to concrete plays a significant role in various aspects of modern construction. The structural performance of anchors under direct tensile load can lead to failure by concrete cone breakout. Concrete related failure modes are quasi-brittle, and as such, they may develop without prior warning indications of damage, while it also exposes the bearing component to damage propagation. As such, an adequate reliability assessment of anchors against concrete cone failure is of high importance, and improved precision and minimisation of uncertainty in the predictive model are critical. This contribution develops predictive models for the tensile breakout capacity of fastening systems in concrete using the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and the Support Vector Regression (SVR) machine learning (ML) algorithms. The models were developed utilising a set of 864 experimental anchor tests. The efficiency of the developed models is assessed by statistical comparison to the state-of-practice semi-empirical predictive model, which is embedded in international design standards. Furthermore, the algorithms were evaluated based on a newly introduced Model Explainability concept based on Analogous Rational and Mechanical phenomena (MEARM). Finally, a discussion is provided regarding the developed ML models’ suitability for use as General Probabilistic Models in a reliability framework.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/14/1/62concretefractureanchoragefastenersmachine learningsupport vector machine
spellingShingle Panagiotis Spyridis
Oladimeji B. Olalusi
Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques
Materials
concrete
fracture
anchorage
fasteners
machine learning
support vector machine
title Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_full Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_fullStr Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_full_unstemmed Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_short Predictive Modelling for Concrete Failure at Anchorages Using Machine Learning Techniques
title_sort predictive modelling for concrete failure at anchorages using machine learning techniques
topic concrete
fracture
anchorage
fasteners
machine learning
support vector machine
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1944/14/1/62
work_keys_str_mv AT panagiotisspyridis predictivemodellingforconcretefailureatanchoragesusingmachinelearningtechniques
AT oladimejibolalusi predictivemodellingforconcretefailureatanchoragesusingmachinelearningtechniques