Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year

The paper examines the characteristics of coronavirus spread in different countries around the world at the beginning of the pandemic, when effective vaccines have not yet been developed. The time interval analyzed is a year and a half from the beginning of 2020 to the summer of 2021. During this pe...

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Main Authors: Pitukhin Evgeniy, Pitukhin Petr, Gubaeva Mileta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2023-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/08/e3sconf_afe2023_03038.pdf
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author Pitukhin Evgeniy
Pitukhin Petr
Gubaeva Mileta
author_facet Pitukhin Evgeniy
Pitukhin Petr
Gubaeva Mileta
author_sort Pitukhin Evgeniy
collection DOAJ
description The paper examines the characteristics of coronavirus spread in different countries around the world at the beginning of the pandemic, when effective vaccines have not yet been developed. The time interval analyzed is a year and a half from the beginning of 2020 to the summer of 2021. During this period, the spread of the disease was not yet significantly affected by the uneven vaccination process of the global population, and the external environment at that time was roughly the same throughout the world in terms of the lack of effective means to counteract the spread of the coronavirus. Based on open-source data on pandemic spread statistics by country (incidence, cure, mortality), applied statistics and data mining techniques identified groups of countries with different spread of the disease. Relative values of indicators, scaled to population size, and the dynamics of their change were analyzed. Estimates were made of the relationships between country-specific pandemic indicators and key demographic and socioeconomic indicators for these countries. These results may be useful for understanding the peculiarities of viral infections spread in different countries and regions of the world in the absence of effective countermeasures.
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spelling doaj.art-cd093fcbb9f44e0895d1e4d0628253c82023-03-09T11:17:43ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422023-01-013710303810.1051/e3sconf/202337103038e3sconf_afe2023_03038Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic yearPitukhin Evgeniy0Pitukhin Petr1Gubaeva Mileta2Petrozavodsk State UniversityDubna State University, branch ProtvinoDubna State University, branch ProtvinoThe paper examines the characteristics of coronavirus spread in different countries around the world at the beginning of the pandemic, when effective vaccines have not yet been developed. The time interval analyzed is a year and a half from the beginning of 2020 to the summer of 2021. During this period, the spread of the disease was not yet significantly affected by the uneven vaccination process of the global population, and the external environment at that time was roughly the same throughout the world in terms of the lack of effective means to counteract the spread of the coronavirus. Based on open-source data on pandemic spread statistics by country (incidence, cure, mortality), applied statistics and data mining techniques identified groups of countries with different spread of the disease. Relative values of indicators, scaled to population size, and the dynamics of their change were analyzed. Estimates were made of the relationships between country-specific pandemic indicators and key demographic and socioeconomic indicators for these countries. These results may be useful for understanding the peculiarities of viral infections spread in different countries and regions of the world in the absence of effective countermeasures.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/08/e3sconf_afe2023_03038.pdf
spellingShingle Pitukhin Evgeniy
Pitukhin Petr
Gubaeva Mileta
Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
E3S Web of Conferences
title Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
title_full Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
title_fullStr Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
title_full_unstemmed Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
title_short Coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
title_sort coronavirus spread analysis in the first pandemic year
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2023/08/e3sconf_afe2023_03038.pdf
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