Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar

Recent evidence suggests that urban forms and materials can help to mediate temporal variation of microclimates and that landscape modifications can potentially reduce temperatures and increase accessibility to outdoor environments. To understand the relationship between urban form and temperature m...

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Main Authors: Yasuyo Makido, Vivek Shandas, Salim Ferwati, David Sailor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2016-06-01
Series:Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/4/2/32
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author Yasuyo Makido
Vivek Shandas
Salim Ferwati
David Sailor
author_facet Yasuyo Makido
Vivek Shandas
Salim Ferwati
David Sailor
author_sort Yasuyo Makido
collection DOAJ
description Recent evidence suggests that urban forms and materials can help to mediate temporal variation of microclimates and that landscape modifications can potentially reduce temperatures and increase accessibility to outdoor environments. To understand the relationship between urban form and temperature moderation, we examined the spatial and temporal variation of air temperature throughout one desert city—Doha, Qatar—by conducting vehicle traverses using highly resolved temperature and GPS data logs to determine spatial differences in summertime air temperatures. To help explain near-surface air temperatures using land cover variables, we employed three statistical approaches: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Regression Tree Analysis (RTA), and Random Forest (RF). We validated the predictions of the statistical models by computing the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and discovered that temporal variations in urban heat are mediated by different factors throughout the day. The average RMSE for OLS, RTA and RF is 1.25, 0.96, and 0.65 (in Celsius), respectively, suggesting that the RF is the best model for predicting near-surface air temperatures at this study site. We conclude by recommending the features of the landscape that have the greatest potential for reducing extreme heat in arid climates.
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spelling doaj.art-cd59462e9ae0426c8522dd8f2d096c162022-12-22T03:36:24ZengMDPI AGClimate2225-11542016-06-01423210.3390/cli4020032cli4020032Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, QatarYasuyo Makido0Vivek Shandas1Salim Ferwati2David Sailor3Toulan School of Urban Studies and Planning, Portland State University, 1825 SW Broadway, Portland, OR 97201, USAToulan School of Urban Studies and Planning, Portland State University, 1825 SW Broadway, Portland, OR 97201, USADepartment of Architecture and Urban Planning, Qatar University, Al Tarfa, Doha 2713, QatarSchool of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Arizona State University, 975 S Myrtle Ave., Tempe, AZ 85281, USARecent evidence suggests that urban forms and materials can help to mediate temporal variation of microclimates and that landscape modifications can potentially reduce temperatures and increase accessibility to outdoor environments. To understand the relationship between urban form and temperature moderation, we examined the spatial and temporal variation of air temperature throughout one desert city—Doha, Qatar—by conducting vehicle traverses using highly resolved temperature and GPS data logs to determine spatial differences in summertime air temperatures. To help explain near-surface air temperatures using land cover variables, we employed three statistical approaches: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Regression Tree Analysis (RTA), and Random Forest (RF). We validated the predictions of the statistical models by computing the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and discovered that temporal variations in urban heat are mediated by different factors throughout the day. The average RMSE for OLS, RTA and RF is 1.25, 0.96, and 0.65 (in Celsius), respectively, suggesting that the RF is the best model for predicting near-surface air temperatures at this study site. We conclude by recommending the features of the landscape that have the greatest potential for reducing extreme heat in arid climates.http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/4/2/32arid climateurban heat islandspatial analysisvehicle temperature traverserandom forest
spellingShingle Yasuyo Makido
Vivek Shandas
Salim Ferwati
David Sailor
Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar
Climate
arid climate
urban heat island
spatial analysis
vehicle temperature traverse
random forest
title Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar
title_full Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar
title_fullStr Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar
title_full_unstemmed Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar
title_short Daytime Variation of Urban Heat Islands: The Case Study of Doha, Qatar
title_sort daytime variation of urban heat islands the case study of doha qatar
topic arid climate
urban heat island
spatial analysis
vehicle temperature traverse
random forest
url http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/4/2/32
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