Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions–both direct and indirect. To confront these complexities, we introduce a method of represe...

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Main Authors: Juhyeon Kim, Hyungeun Lee, Seungwon Yu, Ung Hwang, Wooyeol Jung, Kijung Yoon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2023-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10286512/
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author Juhyeon Kim
Hyungeun Lee
Seungwon Yu
Ung Hwang
Wooyeol Jung
Kijung Yoon
author_facet Juhyeon Kim
Hyungeun Lee
Seungwon Yu
Ung Hwang
Wooyeol Jung
Kijung Yoon
author_sort Juhyeon Kim
collection DOAJ
description Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions–both direct and indirect. To confront these complexities, we introduce a method of representing multivariate signals as nodes in a graph with edges indicating interdependency between them. Specifically, we leverage graph neural networks (GNN) and attention mechanisms to efficiently learn the underlying relationships within the time series data. Moreover, we suggest employing hierarchical signal decompositions running over the graphs to capture multiple spatial dependencies. The effectiveness of our proposed model is evaluated across various real-world benchmark datasets designed for long-term forecasting tasks. The results consistently showcase the superiority of our model, achieving an average 23% reduction in mean squared error (MSE) compared to existing models.
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spelling doaj.art-cd62aecc9f5642f7b67431383bd424e12023-11-09T00:00:27ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362023-01-011111838611839410.1109/ACCESS.2023.332504110286512Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series ForecastingJuhyeon Kim0Hyungeun Lee1Seungwon Yu2Ung Hwang3Wooyeol Jung4Kijung Yoon5https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5574-3299Department of Electronic Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, South KoreaDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, South KoreaDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, South KoreaDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, South KoreaDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, South KoreaDepartment of Electronic Engineering, Hanyang University, Seoul, South KoreaMultivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions–both direct and indirect. To confront these complexities, we introduce a method of representing multivariate signals as nodes in a graph with edges indicating interdependency between them. Specifically, we leverage graph neural networks (GNN) and attention mechanisms to efficiently learn the underlying relationships within the time series data. Moreover, we suggest employing hierarchical signal decompositions running over the graphs to capture multiple spatial dependencies. The effectiveness of our proposed model is evaluated across various real-world benchmark datasets designed for long-term forecasting tasks. The results consistently showcase the superiority of our model, achieving an average 23% reduction in mean squared error (MSE) compared to existing models.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10286512/Time series analysislong sequence time series forecastgraph neural networkstructure learningself-attention
spellingShingle Juhyeon Kim
Hyungeun Lee
Seungwon Yu
Ung Hwang
Wooyeol Jung
Kijung Yoon
Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
IEEE Access
Time series analysis
long sequence time series forecast
graph neural network
structure learning
self-attention
title Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
title_full Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
title_fullStr Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
title_short Hierarchical Joint Graph Learning and Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
title_sort hierarchical joint graph learning and multivariate time series forecasting
topic Time series analysis
long sequence time series forecast
graph neural network
structure learning
self-attention
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10286512/
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AT wooyeoljung hierarchicaljointgraphlearningandmultivariatetimeseriesforecasting
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