The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study

Abstract Background According to the German guidelines, people with severe alcohol use disorders (AUDs) should receive withdrawal treatment. Compared to somatic withdrawal treatment (SWT), extended duration and psychosocial elements of so-called “qualified withdrawal treatment” (QWT) aim to reduce r...

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Main Authors: Jakob Manthey, Christina Lindemann, Ludwig Kraus, Jens Reimer, Uwe Verthein, Bernd Schulte, Jürgen Rehm
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-01-01
Series:Substance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13011-019-0249-7
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author Jakob Manthey
Christina Lindemann
Ludwig Kraus
Jens Reimer
Uwe Verthein
Bernd Schulte
Jürgen Rehm
author_facet Jakob Manthey
Christina Lindemann
Ludwig Kraus
Jens Reimer
Uwe Verthein
Bernd Schulte
Jürgen Rehm
author_sort Jakob Manthey
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background According to the German guidelines, people with severe alcohol use disorders (AUDs) should receive withdrawal treatment. Compared to somatic withdrawal treatment (SWT), extended duration and psychosocial elements of so-called “qualified withdrawal treatment” (QWT) aim to reduce relapse rates. Despite promising results of prospective studies on QWT, only few German inpatients seeking withdrawal treatment receive QWT. We estimated the potential effects on mortality and morbidity for higher proportions of treatment-seeking patients receiving QWT rather than SWT in the German city of Bremen. Methods In 2016 and 2017, 2051 inpatients were admitted to two specialised hospitals for withdrawal treatment. The potential beneficial effects of QWT over SWT were estimated by simulating treatment outcomes taken from two prospective studies. Outcomes comprised number and length of all-cause hospitalisations within 5 years, as well as abstinence and all-cause mortality rates within 28 months. Outcomes were estimated for actual and increased rates of QWT (25, 50%) among inpatients seeking alcohol treatment. Results In the selected hospitals, 170 patients (8%) received QWT. If 25% of AUD inpatients were to receive QWT, benefits in abstinence rates (+ 18%), the total number of hospitalisations (− 9%) and hospital days (− 10%) could be expected. If 50% of AUD inpatients were to receive QWT, benefits in abstinence rates (+ 45%), the total number of hospitalisations (− 23%) and hospital days (− 26%) were more pronounced, in addition to reductions in mortality (− 20%). Conclusion Increasing the proportion of people with severe AUD enrolled in extended withdrawal treatment programs (such as QWT) may contribute to reduce overall alcohol-attributable burden of disease. Randomised controlled trials or other prospective studies controlling for confounding factors are needed to determine the potential at the population level.
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spelling doaj.art-cd7418e462ed469d81b71be2c6a8f5c02022-12-21T23:30:05ZengBMCSubstance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy1747-597X2020-01-011511710.1186/s13011-019-0249-7The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation studyJakob Manthey0Christina Lindemann1Ludwig Kraus2Jens Reimer3Uwe Verthein4Bernd Schulte5Jürgen Rehm6Institute of Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy, Technische Universität DresdenCenter for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-EppendorfIFT Institut für TherapieforschungCenter for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-EppendorfCenter for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-EppendorfCenter for Interdisciplinary Addiction Research (ZIS), Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medical Center Hamburg-EppendorfInstitute of Clinical Psychology and Psychotherapy, Technische Universität DresdenAbstract Background According to the German guidelines, people with severe alcohol use disorders (AUDs) should receive withdrawal treatment. Compared to somatic withdrawal treatment (SWT), extended duration and psychosocial elements of so-called “qualified withdrawal treatment” (QWT) aim to reduce relapse rates. Despite promising results of prospective studies on QWT, only few German inpatients seeking withdrawal treatment receive QWT. We estimated the potential effects on mortality and morbidity for higher proportions of treatment-seeking patients receiving QWT rather than SWT in the German city of Bremen. Methods In 2016 and 2017, 2051 inpatients were admitted to two specialised hospitals for withdrawal treatment. The potential beneficial effects of QWT over SWT were estimated by simulating treatment outcomes taken from two prospective studies. Outcomes comprised number and length of all-cause hospitalisations within 5 years, as well as abstinence and all-cause mortality rates within 28 months. Outcomes were estimated for actual and increased rates of QWT (25, 50%) among inpatients seeking alcohol treatment. Results In the selected hospitals, 170 patients (8%) received QWT. If 25% of AUD inpatients were to receive QWT, benefits in abstinence rates (+ 18%), the total number of hospitalisations (− 9%) and hospital days (− 10%) could be expected. If 50% of AUD inpatients were to receive QWT, benefits in abstinence rates (+ 45%), the total number of hospitalisations (− 23%) and hospital days (− 26%) were more pronounced, in addition to reductions in mortality (− 20%). Conclusion Increasing the proportion of people with severe AUD enrolled in extended withdrawal treatment programs (such as QWT) may contribute to reduce overall alcohol-attributable burden of disease. Randomised controlled trials or other prospective studies controlling for confounding factors are needed to determine the potential at the population level.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13011-019-0249-7AlcoholTreatmentWithdrawalDetoxificationAlcohol use disordersHospital
spellingShingle Jakob Manthey
Christina Lindemann
Ludwig Kraus
Jens Reimer
Uwe Verthein
Bernd Schulte
Jürgen Rehm
The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study
Substance Abuse Treatment, Prevention, and Policy
Alcohol
Treatment
Withdrawal
Detoxification
Alcohol use disorders
Hospital
title The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study
title_full The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study
title_fullStr The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study
title_full_unstemmed The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study
title_short The potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the German city of Bremen: a simulation study
title_sort potential effects of an extended alcohol withdrawal treatment programme on morbidity and mortality among inpatients in the german city of bremen a simulation study
topic Alcohol
Treatment
Withdrawal
Detoxification
Alcohol use disorders
Hospital
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13011-019-0249-7
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