An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)

通过分析1984~2010年影响浙江省台州市的台风灾害资料,以新构建的台风规范化灾情指数评估台州历史台风的灾情等级,比较符合台州市的实际灾情状况.结果表明:台风规范化灾情指数预报模型拟合率较高,拟合误差1级准确率达到了88.00%以上;新指数模型计算简单,评估效果较好,可为政府及相关部门提供定量化、科学化的灾情评估和灾后灾情评估产品....

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Main Authors: YANGWanyu(杨万裕), WENGZhimei(翁之梅), LIUHanhua(刘汉华), GAOlinghua(高岭花)
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Zhejiang University Press 2015-12-01
Series:Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2015.Supp.025
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author YANGWanyu(杨万裕)
WENGZhimei(翁之梅)
LIUHanhua(刘汉华)
GAOlinghua(高岭花)
author_facet YANGWanyu(杨万裕)
WENGZhimei(翁之梅)
LIUHanhua(刘汉华)
GAOlinghua(高岭花)
author_sort YANGWanyu(杨万裕)
collection DOAJ
description 通过分析1984~2010年影响浙江省台州市的台风灾害资料,以新构建的台风规范化灾情指数评估台州历史台风的灾情等级,比较符合台州市的实际灾情状况.结果表明:台风规范化灾情指数预报模型拟合率较高,拟合误差1级准确率达到了88.00%以上;新指数模型计算简单,评估效果较好,可为政府及相关部门提供定量化、科学化的灾情评估和灾后灾情评估产品.
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spelling doaj.art-cdb1e8b89b824af491f82d15587e88d82024-03-29T01:58:35ZzhoZhejiang University PressZhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban1008-94972015-12-0142Z115315710.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2015.Supp.025An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)YANGWanyu(杨万裕)0WENGZhimei(翁之梅)1LIUHanhua(刘汉华)2GAOlinghua(高岭花)3 1.Taizhou Meteorological Bureau, Taizhou 318000, Zhejiang Province, China( 1.台州市气象局,浙江 台州 318000) 1.Taizhou Meteorological Bureau, Taizhou 318000, Zhejiang Province, China( 1.台州市气象局,浙江 台州 318000) 2.Meteorological Bureau of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou 310012, China( 2.浙江省气象台,浙江 杭州 310012) 1.Taizhou Meteorological Bureau, Taizhou 318000, Zhejiang Province, China( 1.台州市气象局,浙江 台州 318000)通过分析1984~2010年影响浙江省台州市的台风灾害资料,以新构建的台风规范化灾情指数评估台州历史台风的灾情等级,比较符合台州市的实际灾情状况.结果表明:台风规范化灾情指数预报模型拟合率较高,拟合误差1级准确率达到了88.00%以上;新指数模型计算简单,评估效果较好,可为政府及相关部门提供定量化、科学化的灾情评估和灾后灾情评估产品.https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2015.Supp.025台风影响气象灾害评估方法
spellingShingle YANGWanyu(杨万裕)
WENGZhimei(翁之梅)
LIUHanhua(刘汉华)
GAOlinghua(高岭花)
An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)
Zhejiang Daxue xuebao. Lixue ban
台风影响
气象灾害
评估方法
title An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)
title_full An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)
title_fullStr An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)
title_full_unstemmed An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)
title_short An exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for Taizhou, Zhejiang Province(台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨)
title_sort exploration of typhoon disaster risk evaluation method for taizhou zhejiang province 台州市台风气象灾害评估方法探讨
topic 台风影响
气象灾害
评估方法
url https://doi.org/10.3785/j.issn.1008-9497.2015.Supp.025
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