Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data

Data on the number of aircraft passengers is essential to airport managers and the government's policies. The policy relates to improving the facilities and capacity of airports and other affected sectors, such as the transportation and tourism industries. A policy taken will be better if the d...

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Main Authors: I Putu Juni Adi Widianata, Nori Wilantika
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Udayana University, Institute for Research and Community Services 2023-10-01
Series:Lontar Komputer
Online Access:https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/lontar/article/view/93169
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author I Putu Juni Adi Widianata
Nori Wilantika
author_facet I Putu Juni Adi Widianata
Nori Wilantika
author_sort I Putu Juni Adi Widianata
collection DOAJ
description Data on the number of aircraft passengers is essential to airport managers and the government's policies. The policy relates to improving the facilities and capacity of airports and other affected sectors, such as the transportation and tourism industries. A policy taken will be better if the data used is very close to the time of policy decision-making. Therefore, a technique is needed to forecast very close to the current condition of the number of aircraft passengers, namely nowcasting. One of the data sources that can be used for nowcasting is Google Trends data. In this study, the identification of relevant keywords used for nowcasting, the formation of nowcasting models, and the search for the best model for nowcasting the number of aircraft passengers was carried out. The nowcasting methods used are SARIMAX and multilayer perceptron. In this study, five relevant keywords were generated for domestic departures and two for international departures. In the nowcasting modeling, the best model for nowcasting domestic departures is produced, namely the multilayer perceptron with MAPE and MAE values of 11.194% and 28.048 respectively, while for departures Internationally, the best model was produced, namely SARIMAX with MAPE and MAE values of 8,641% and 50,205 respectively.
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spelling doaj.art-cdc2a2feb8664c0d8fb7fed24c61330b2023-10-30T15:50:12ZengUdayana University, Institute for Research and Community ServicesLontar Komputer2088-15412541-58322023-10-01141122310.24843/LKJITI.2023.v14.i01.p0293169Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends DataI Putu Juni Adi Widianata0Nori WilantikaPoliteknik Statistika STISData on the number of aircraft passengers is essential to airport managers and the government's policies. The policy relates to improving the facilities and capacity of airports and other affected sectors, such as the transportation and tourism industries. A policy taken will be better if the data used is very close to the time of policy decision-making. Therefore, a technique is needed to forecast very close to the current condition of the number of aircraft passengers, namely nowcasting. One of the data sources that can be used for nowcasting is Google Trends data. In this study, the identification of relevant keywords used for nowcasting, the formation of nowcasting models, and the search for the best model for nowcasting the number of aircraft passengers was carried out. The nowcasting methods used are SARIMAX and multilayer perceptron. In this study, five relevant keywords were generated for domestic departures and two for international departures. In the nowcasting modeling, the best model for nowcasting domestic departures is produced, namely the multilayer perceptron with MAPE and MAE values of 11.194% and 28.048 respectively, while for departures Internationally, the best model was produced, namely SARIMAX with MAPE and MAE values of 8,641% and 50,205 respectively.https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/lontar/article/view/93169
spellingShingle I Putu Juni Adi Widianata
Nori Wilantika
Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data
Lontar Komputer
title Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data
title_full Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data
title_fullStr Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data
title_full_unstemmed Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data
title_short Nowcasting the Number of Airplane Passengers at Ngurah Rai Airport Using Google Trends Data
title_sort nowcasting the number of airplane passengers at ngurah rai airport using google trends data
url https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/lontar/article/view/93169
work_keys_str_mv AT iputujuniadiwidianata nowcastingthenumberofairplanepassengersatngurahraiairportusinggoogletrendsdata
AT noriwilantika nowcastingthenumberofairplanepassengersatngurahraiairportusinggoogletrendsdata