Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease

Abstract Background We aimed to assess the utility of the combination of the mini-mental state examination (MMSE) + clock drawing test (CDT) and the Fried phenotype for predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death within 6 months in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Meth...

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Main Authors: Si-Min Yao, Pei-Pei Zheng, Yao-Dan Liang, Yu-Hao Wan, Ning Sun, Yao Luo, Jie-Fu Yang, Hua Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2020-06-01
Series:BMC Geriatrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12877-020-01606-8
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author Si-Min Yao
Pei-Pei Zheng
Yao-Dan Liang
Yu-Hao Wan
Ning Sun
Yao Luo
Jie-Fu Yang
Hua Wang
author_facet Si-Min Yao
Pei-Pei Zheng
Yao-Dan Liang
Yu-Hao Wan
Ning Sun
Yao Luo
Jie-Fu Yang
Hua Wang
author_sort Si-Min Yao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background We aimed to assess the utility of the combination of the mini-mental state examination (MMSE) + clock drawing test (CDT) and the Fried phenotype for predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death within 6 months in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods A single-center prospective cohort was conducted from September 2018 to February 2019. Inpatients ≥65 years old were recruited. Predictive validity was tested using a Cox proportional hazards regression model analysis, and the discriminative ability was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results A total of 542 patients were included. Overall, 12% (64/542) screened positive for cognitive impairment, 16% (86/542) were physically frail and 8% (44/542) had cognitive impairment combined with physical frailty, showing an older age (P < 0.001) and a lower education level (P < 0.001) than physically frail patients. A total of 113 patients (20.9%) died or were readmitted at 6 months. Frail participants with a normal (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06–2.82, P = 0.028) or impaired cognition (HR: 2.50, 95% CI: 1.27–4.91, P = 0.008) had a higher risk of non-elective hospital readmission or death than robust patients after adjusting for the age, sex, education level, marital status, the presence of diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and history of stroke. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed that the discriminative ability in relation to 6 months readmission and death for the MMSE + CDT + Fried phenotype was 0.65 (95% CI: 0.60–0.71), and the AUC for men was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.63–0.78), while that for women was 0.60 (95% CI: 0.51–0.69). Conclusions Accounting for cognitive impairment in the frailty phenotype may allow for the better prediction of non-elective hospital readmission or death in elderly inpatients with CVD in the short term. Trial registration ChiCTR1800017204 ; date of registration: 07/18/2018.
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spelling doaj.art-cddd2178913146f4aadecc455f68574a2022-12-22T01:47:11ZengBMCBMC Geriatrics1471-23182020-06-0120111010.1186/s12877-020-01606-8Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular diseaseSi-Min Yao0Pei-Pei Zheng1Yao-Dan Liang2Yu-Hao Wan3Ning Sun4Yao Luo5Jie-Fu Yang6Hua Wang7Peking University Fifth School of Clinical MedicinePeking University Fifth School of Clinical MedicineDepartment of Cardiology, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesPeking University Fifth School of Clinical MedicineDepartment of Cardiology, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesDepartment of Cardiology, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical SciencesPeking University Fifth School of Clinical MedicinePeking University Fifth School of Clinical MedicineAbstract Background We aimed to assess the utility of the combination of the mini-mental state examination (MMSE) + clock drawing test (CDT) and the Fried phenotype for predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death within 6 months in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods A single-center prospective cohort was conducted from September 2018 to February 2019. Inpatients ≥65 years old were recruited. Predictive validity was tested using a Cox proportional hazards regression model analysis, and the discriminative ability was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Results A total of 542 patients were included. Overall, 12% (64/542) screened positive for cognitive impairment, 16% (86/542) were physically frail and 8% (44/542) had cognitive impairment combined with physical frailty, showing an older age (P < 0.001) and a lower education level (P < 0.001) than physically frail patients. A total of 113 patients (20.9%) died or were readmitted at 6 months. Frail participants with a normal (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06–2.82, P = 0.028) or impaired cognition (HR: 2.50, 95% CI: 1.27–4.91, P = 0.008) had a higher risk of non-elective hospital readmission or death than robust patients after adjusting for the age, sex, education level, marital status, the presence of diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and history of stroke. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed that the discriminative ability in relation to 6 months readmission and death for the MMSE + CDT + Fried phenotype was 0.65 (95% CI: 0.60–0.71), and the AUC for men was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.63–0.78), while that for women was 0.60 (95% CI: 0.51–0.69). Conclusions Accounting for cognitive impairment in the frailty phenotype may allow for the better prediction of non-elective hospital readmission or death in elderly inpatients with CVD in the short term. Trial registration ChiCTR1800017204 ; date of registration: 07/18/2018.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12877-020-01606-8Cognitive impairmentFrailtyCardiovascular diseasesNon-elective hospital readmissionElderly inpatients
spellingShingle Si-Min Yao
Pei-Pei Zheng
Yao-Dan Liang
Yu-Hao Wan
Ning Sun
Yao Luo
Jie-Fu Yang
Hua Wang
Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
BMC Geriatrics
Cognitive impairment
Frailty
Cardiovascular diseases
Non-elective hospital readmission
Elderly inpatients
title Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
title_full Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
title_fullStr Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
title_full_unstemmed Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
title_short Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
title_sort predicting non elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease
topic Cognitive impairment
Frailty
Cardiovascular diseases
Non-elective hospital readmission
Elderly inpatients
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12877-020-01606-8
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