Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes

This paper focuses on the issue of the extent to which the present mainstream risk adjustment (RA) methodology for measuring outcomes is a valid and useful tool for quality-improvement activities. The method's predictive and attributional validity are discussed, considering the confounding and...

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Main Author: Leticia Krauss Silva
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz
Series:Cadernos de Saúde Pública
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2003000100032&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Leticia Krauss Silva
author_facet Leticia Krauss Silva
author_sort Leticia Krauss Silva
collection DOAJ
description This paper focuses on the issue of the extent to which the present mainstream risk adjustment (RA) methodology for measuring outcomes is a valid and useful tool for quality-improvement activities. The method's predictive and attributional validity are discussed, considering the confounding and effect modification produced by medical care over risk variables' effect. For this purpose, the sufficient-cause model and the counterfactual approach to effect and interaction are tentatively applied to the relationships between risk (prognostic) variables, medical technology, and quality of care. The main conclusions are that quality of care modifies the antagonistic interaction between medical technologies and risk variables, related to different types of responders, as well as the confounding of the effect of risk variables produced by related medical technologies. Thus, confounding of risk factors in the RA method, which limits the latter's predictive validity, is related to the efficacy and complexity of associated medical technologies and to the quality mix of services. Attributional validity depends on the validity of the probabilities estimated for each subgroup of risk (predictive validity) and the percentage of higher-risk patients at each service.
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spelling doaj.art-cddfb904ea134b9a9e6d010e162e94442022-12-21T23:44:50ZengEscola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fundação Oswaldo CruzCadernos de Saúde Pública0102-311X1678-4464191287295S0102-311X2003000100032Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomesLeticia Krauss Silva0Fundação Oswaldo CruzThis paper focuses on the issue of the extent to which the present mainstream risk adjustment (RA) methodology for measuring outcomes is a valid and useful tool for quality-improvement activities. The method's predictive and attributional validity are discussed, considering the confounding and effect modification produced by medical care over risk variables' effect. For this purpose, the sufficient-cause model and the counterfactual approach to effect and interaction are tentatively applied to the relationships between risk (prognostic) variables, medical technology, and quality of care. The main conclusions are that quality of care modifies the antagonistic interaction between medical technologies and risk variables, related to different types of responders, as well as the confounding of the effect of risk variables produced by related medical technologies. Thus, confounding of risk factors in the RA method, which limits the latter's predictive validity, is related to the efficacy and complexity of associated medical technologies and to the quality mix of services. Attributional validity depends on the validity of the probabilities estimated for each subgroup of risk (predictive validity) and the percentage of higher-risk patients at each service.http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2003000100032&lng=en&tlng=enrisk adjustmentoutcomesvalidity
spellingShingle Leticia Krauss Silva
Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
Cadernos de Saúde Pública
risk adjustment
outcomes
validity
title Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
title_full Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
title_fullStr Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
title_full_unstemmed Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
title_short Validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
title_sort validity of the risk adjustment approach to compare outcomes
topic risk adjustment
outcomes
validity
url http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0102-311X2003000100032&lng=en&tlng=en
work_keys_str_mv AT leticiakrausssilva validityoftheriskadjustmentapproachtocompareoutcomes