Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept

Aims: The lack of disease-modifying treatments for osteoarthritis (OA) is linked to a shortage of suitable biomarkers. This study combines multi-molecule synovial fluid analysis with machine learning to produce an accurate diagnostic biomarker model for end-stage knee OA (esOA). Methods: Synovial fl...

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Main Authors: Chethan Jayadev, Philippa Hulley, Catherine Swales, Sarah Snelling, Gary Collins, Peter Taylor, Andrew Price
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The British Editorial Society of Bone & Joint Surgery 2020-09-01
Series:Bone & Joint Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://online.boneandjoint.org.uk/doi/epdf/10.1302/2046-3758.99.BJR-2019-0192.R1
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author Chethan Jayadev
Philippa Hulley
Catherine Swales
Sarah Snelling
Gary Collins
Peter Taylor
Andrew Price
author_facet Chethan Jayadev
Philippa Hulley
Catherine Swales
Sarah Snelling
Gary Collins
Peter Taylor
Andrew Price
author_sort Chethan Jayadev
collection DOAJ
description Aims: The lack of disease-modifying treatments for osteoarthritis (OA) is linked to a shortage of suitable biomarkers. This study combines multi-molecule synovial fluid analysis with machine learning to produce an accurate diagnostic biomarker model for end-stage knee OA (esOA). Methods: Synovial fluid (SF) from patients with esOA, non-OA knee injury, and inflammatory knee arthritis were analyzed for 35 potential markers using immunoassays. Partial least square discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) was used to derive a biomarker model for cohort classification. The ability of the biomarker model to diagnose esOA was validated by identical wide-spectrum SF analysis of a test cohort of ten patients with esOA. Results: PLS-DA produced a streamlined biomarker model with excellent sensitivity (95%), specificity (98.4%), and reliability (97.4%). The eight-biomarker model produced a fingerprint for esOA comprising type IIA procollagen N-terminal propeptide (PIIANP), tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase (TIMP)-1, a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs 4 (ADAMTS-4), monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1, interferon-γ-inducible protein-10 (IP-10), and transforming growth factor (TGF)-β3. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated excellent discriminatory accuracy: area under the curve (AUC) being 0.970 for esOA, 0.957 for knee injury, and 1 for inflammatory arthritis. All ten validation test patients were classified correctly as esOA (accuracy 100%; reliability 100%) by the biomarker model. Conclusion: SF analysis coupled with machine learning produced a partially validated biomarker model with cohort-specific fingerprints that accurately and reliably discriminated esOA from knee injury and inflammatory arthritis with almost 100% efficacy. The presented findings and approach represent a new biomarker concept and potential diagnostic tool to stage disease in therapy trials and monitor the efficacy of such interventions.
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spelling doaj.art-ce3cc22b5f6a48819efcbe5b547bc8512022-12-22T03:05:57ZengThe British Editorial Society of Bone & Joint SurgeryBone & Joint Research2046-37582020-09-019962363210.1302/2046-3758.99.BJR-2019-0192.R1Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker conceptChethan Jayadev0Philippa Hulley1Catherine Swales2Sarah Snelling3Gary Collins4Peter Taylor5Andrew Price6Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital NHS Trust, Stanmore, UKNuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKNuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKNuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKCentre for Statistics in Medicine, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKNuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKNuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UKAims: The lack of disease-modifying treatments for osteoarthritis (OA) is linked to a shortage of suitable biomarkers. This study combines multi-molecule synovial fluid analysis with machine learning to produce an accurate diagnostic biomarker model for end-stage knee OA (esOA). Methods: Synovial fluid (SF) from patients with esOA, non-OA knee injury, and inflammatory knee arthritis were analyzed for 35 potential markers using immunoassays. Partial least square discriminant analysis (PLS-DA) was used to derive a biomarker model for cohort classification. The ability of the biomarker model to diagnose esOA was validated by identical wide-spectrum SF analysis of a test cohort of ten patients with esOA. Results: PLS-DA produced a streamlined biomarker model with excellent sensitivity (95%), specificity (98.4%), and reliability (97.4%). The eight-biomarker model produced a fingerprint for esOA comprising type IIA procollagen N-terminal propeptide (PIIANP), tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase (TIMP)-1, a disintegrin and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin motifs 4 (ADAMTS-4), monocyte chemoattractant protein (MCP)-1, interferon-γ-inducible protein-10 (IP-10), and transforming growth factor (TGF)-β3. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis demonstrated excellent discriminatory accuracy: area under the curve (AUC) being 0.970 for esOA, 0.957 for knee injury, and 1 for inflammatory arthritis. All ten validation test patients were classified correctly as esOA (accuracy 100%; reliability 100%) by the biomarker model. Conclusion: SF analysis coupled with machine learning produced a partially validated biomarker model with cohort-specific fingerprints that accurately and reliably discriminated esOA from knee injury and inflammatory arthritis with almost 100% efficacy. The presented findings and approach represent a new biomarker concept and potential diagnostic tool to stage disease in therapy trials and monitor the efficacy of such interventions.https://online.boneandjoint.org.uk/doi/epdf/10.1302/2046-3758.99.BJR-2019-0192.R1osteoarthritisbiomarkermachine learning
spellingShingle Chethan Jayadev
Philippa Hulley
Catherine Swales
Sarah Snelling
Gary Collins
Peter Taylor
Andrew Price
Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept
Bone & Joint Research
osteoarthritis
biomarker
machine learning
title Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept
title_full Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept
title_fullStr Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept
title_full_unstemmed Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept
title_short Synovial fluid fingerprinting in end-stage knee osteoarthritis: a novel biomarker concept
title_sort synovial fluid fingerprinting in end stage knee osteoarthritis a novel biomarker concept
topic osteoarthritis
biomarker
machine learning
url https://online.boneandjoint.org.uk/doi/epdf/10.1302/2046-3758.99.BJR-2019-0192.R1
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