Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer

Wind power, as a type of renewable energy, has received widespread attention from domestic and foreign experts. Although it has the advantages of cleanliness and low pollution, its strong randomness and volatility can bring disadvantages to the stable operation of the power grid. Accurate power pred...

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Main Authors: Qiyue Huang, Yapeng Wang, Xu Yang, Sio-Kei Im
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/14/8350
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author Qiyue Huang
Yapeng Wang
Xu Yang
Sio-Kei Im
author_facet Qiyue Huang
Yapeng Wang
Xu Yang
Sio-Kei Im
author_sort Qiyue Huang
collection DOAJ
description Wind power, as a type of renewable energy, has received widespread attention from domestic and foreign experts. Although it has the advantages of cleanliness and low pollution, its strong randomness and volatility can bring disadvantages to the stable operation of the power grid. Accurate power prediction can avoid the adverse effects of wind power, and is of great significance for power grid frequency regulation, peak shaving, and energy improvement. However, traditional wind power prediction methods can only achieve accurate predictions in the short term and perform poorly in medium- to long-term prediction tasks. To address this issue, a power prediction model based on a Gated Transformer is proposed in this paper. Firstly, it can extract features from different types of data sources, effectively capture their correlations, and achieve data fusion. Secondly, gating unit, dilated convolution unit, and multi-head attention mechanism are added to improve the Receptive field and generalization ability of the model. In addition, adding a decoder to guide data prediction further improves the accuracy of prediction. Finally, experiments are carried out with the data collected from typical wind farms. The results show that the proposed Gated Transformer achieves consistent state-of-the-art results in prediction tasks on different time scales.
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spelling doaj.art-ce4927ab6d6c4b82be758992357062742023-11-18T18:11:50ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172023-07-011314835010.3390/app13148350Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated TransformerQiyue Huang0Yapeng Wang1Xu Yang2Sio-Kei Im3Faculty of Applied Sciences, Macao Polytechnic University, Macao, ChinaFaculty of Applied Sciences, Macao Polytechnic University, Macao, ChinaFaculty of Applied Sciences, Macao Polytechnic University, Macao, ChinaMacao Polytechnic Institute, Macao, ChinaWind power, as a type of renewable energy, has received widespread attention from domestic and foreign experts. Although it has the advantages of cleanliness and low pollution, its strong randomness and volatility can bring disadvantages to the stable operation of the power grid. Accurate power prediction can avoid the adverse effects of wind power, and is of great significance for power grid frequency regulation, peak shaving, and energy improvement. However, traditional wind power prediction methods can only achieve accurate predictions in the short term and perform poorly in medium- to long-term prediction tasks. To address this issue, a power prediction model based on a Gated Transformer is proposed in this paper. Firstly, it can extract features from different types of data sources, effectively capture their correlations, and achieve data fusion. Secondly, gating unit, dilated convolution unit, and multi-head attention mechanism are added to improve the Receptive field and generalization ability of the model. In addition, adding a decoder to guide data prediction further improves the accuracy of prediction. Finally, experiments are carried out with the data collected from typical wind farms. The results show that the proposed Gated Transformer achieves consistent state-of-the-art results in prediction tasks on different time scales.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/14/8350transformergated unitpower predictionNWPattention
spellingShingle Qiyue Huang
Yapeng Wang
Xu Yang
Sio-Kei Im
Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer
Applied Sciences
transformer
gated unit
power prediction
NWP
attention
title Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer
title_full Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer
title_fullStr Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer
title_full_unstemmed Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer
title_short Research on Wind Power Prediction Based on a Gated Transformer
title_sort research on wind power prediction based on a gated transformer
topic transformer
gated unit
power prediction
NWP
attention
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/13/14/8350
work_keys_str_mv AT qiyuehuang researchonwindpowerpredictionbasedonagatedtransformer
AT yapengwang researchonwindpowerpredictionbasedonagatedtransformer
AT xuyang researchonwindpowerpredictionbasedonagatedtransformer
AT siokeiim researchonwindpowerpredictionbasedonagatedtransformer