Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils

Monitoring changes in soil C has recently received interest due to reporting under the Kyoto Protocol. Model-based approaches to estimate changes in soil C stocks exist, but they cannot fully replace repeated measurements. Measuring changes in soil C is laborious due to small expected changes an...

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Main Authors: Peltoniemi, Mikko, Heikkinen, Juha, Mäkipää, Raisa
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Finnish Society of Forest Science 2007-01-01
Series:Silva Fennica
Online Access:https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/287
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author Peltoniemi, Mikko
Heikkinen, Juha
Mäkipää, Raisa
author_facet Peltoniemi, Mikko
Heikkinen, Juha
Mäkipää, Raisa
author_sort Peltoniemi, Mikko
collection DOAJ
description Monitoring changes in soil C has recently received interest due to reporting under the Kyoto Protocol. Model-based approaches to estimate changes in soil C stocks exist, but they cannot fully replace repeated measurements. Measuring changes in soil C is laborious due to small expected changes and large spatial variation. Stratification of soil sampling allows the reduction of sample size without reducing precision. If there are no previous measurements, the stratification can be made with model-predictions of target variable. Our aim was to present a simulation-based stratification method, and to estimate how much stratification of inventory plots could improve the efficiency of the sampling. The effect of large uncertainties related to soil C change measurements and simulated predictions was targeted since they may considerably decrease the efficiency of stratification. According to our simulations, stratification can be useful with a feasible soil sample number if other uncertainties (simulated predictions and forecasted forest management) can be controlled. For example, the optimal (Neyman) allocation of plots to 4 strata with 10 soil samples from each plot (unpaired repeated sampling) reduced the standard error (SE) of the stratified mean by 9â34% from that of simple random sampling, depending on the assumptions of uncertainties. When the uncertainties of measurements and simulations were not accounted for in the division to strata, the decreases of SEs were 2â9 units less. Stratified sampling scheme that accounts for the uncertainties in measured material and in the correlates (simulated predictions) is recommended for the sampling design of soil C stock changes.
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spelling doaj.art-ce721c4f7f474c15bab57e1fbb7f68132022-12-21T20:39:58ZengFinnish Society of Forest ScienceSilva Fennica2242-40752007-01-0141310.14214/sf.287Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soilsPeltoniemi, MikkoHeikkinen, JuhaMäkipää, RaisaMonitoring changes in soil C has recently received interest due to reporting under the Kyoto Protocol. Model-based approaches to estimate changes in soil C stocks exist, but they cannot fully replace repeated measurements. Measuring changes in soil C is laborious due to small expected changes and large spatial variation. Stratification of soil sampling allows the reduction of sample size without reducing precision. If there are no previous measurements, the stratification can be made with model-predictions of target variable. Our aim was to present a simulation-based stratification method, and to estimate how much stratification of inventory plots could improve the efficiency of the sampling. The effect of large uncertainties related to soil C change measurements and simulated predictions was targeted since they may considerably decrease the efficiency of stratification. According to our simulations, stratification can be useful with a feasible soil sample number if other uncertainties (simulated predictions and forecasted forest management) can be controlled. For example, the optimal (Neyman) allocation of plots to 4 strata with 10 soil samples from each plot (unpaired repeated sampling) reduced the standard error (SE) of the stratified mean by 9â34% from that of simple random sampling, depending on the assumptions of uncertainties. When the uncertainties of measurements and simulations were not accounted for in the division to strata, the decreases of SEs were 2â9 units less. Stratified sampling scheme that accounts for the uncertainties in measured material and in the correlates (simulated predictions) is recommended for the sampling design of soil C stock changes.https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/287
spellingShingle Peltoniemi, Mikko
Heikkinen, Juha
Mäkipää, Raisa
Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
Silva Fennica
title Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
title_full Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
title_fullStr Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
title_full_unstemmed Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
title_short Stratification of regional sampling by model-predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
title_sort stratification of regional sampling by model predicted changes of carbon stocks in forested mineral soils
url https://www.silvafennica.fi/article/287
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AT heikkinenjuha stratificationofregionalsamplingbymodelpredictedchangesofcarbonstocksinforestedmineralsoils
AT makipaaraisa stratificationofregionalsamplingbymodelpredictedchangesofcarbonstocksinforestedmineralsoils