Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2020-07-01
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Series: | International Journal of Infectious Diseases |
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Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030326X |
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author | Mingwang Shen Zhihang Peng Yuming Guo Libin Rong Yan Li Yanni Xiao Guihua Zhuang Lei Zhang |
author_facet | Mingwang Shen Zhihang Peng Yuming Guo Libin Rong Yan Li Yanni Xiao Guihua Zhuang Lei Zhang |
author_sort | Mingwang Shen |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-21T14:45:40Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-cebc23308463483b97cd134364e2d4f1 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1201-9712 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-21T14:45:40Z |
publishDate | 2020-07-01 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | Article |
series | International Journal of Infectious Diseases |
spelling | doaj.art-cebc23308463483b97cd134364e2d4f12022-12-21T19:00:02ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Infectious Diseases1201-97122020-07-0196503505Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and householdsMingwang Shen0Zhihang Peng1Yuming Guo2Libin Rong3Yan Li4Yanni Xiao5Guihua Zhuang6Lei Zhang7China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210029, PR ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, AustraliaDepartment of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USADepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Science, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USASchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710049, PR China; Corresponding authors.China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China; Corresponding authors.China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China; Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia; Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, China; Corresponding author at: China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China.Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030326XCOVID-19Metropolitan-wide quarantinePublic spaceHouseholds |
spellingShingle | Mingwang Shen Zhihang Peng Yuming Guo Libin Rong Yan Li Yanni Xiao Guihua Zhuang Lei Zhang Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households International Journal of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Metropolitan-wide quarantine Public space Households |
title | Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households |
title_full | Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households |
title_fullStr | Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households |
title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households |
title_short | Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households |
title_sort | assessing the effects of metropolitan wide quarantine on the spread of covid 19 in public space and households |
topic | COVID-19 Metropolitan-wide quarantine Public space Households |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030326X |
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