Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households

Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the...

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Main Authors: Mingwang Shen, Zhihang Peng, Yuming Guo, Libin Rong, Yan Li, Yanni Xiao, Guihua Zhuang, Lei Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-07-01
Series:International Journal of Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030326X
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author Mingwang Shen
Zhihang Peng
Yuming Guo
Libin Rong
Yan Li
Yanni Xiao
Guihua Zhuang
Lei Zhang
author_facet Mingwang Shen
Zhihang Peng
Yuming Guo
Libin Rong
Yan Li
Yanni Xiao
Guihua Zhuang
Lei Zhang
author_sort Mingwang Shen
collection DOAJ
description Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine.
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spelling doaj.art-cebc23308463483b97cd134364e2d4f12022-12-21T19:00:02ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Infectious Diseases1201-97122020-07-0196503505Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and householdsMingwang Shen0Zhihang Peng1Yuming Guo2Libin Rong3Yan Li4Yanni Xiao5Guihua Zhuang6Lei Zhang7China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210029, PR ChinaDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC 3004, AustraliaDepartment of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USADepartment of Population Health Science and Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA; Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology, and Reproductive Science, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USASchool of Mathematics and Statistics, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710049, PR China; Corresponding authors.China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China; Corresponding authors.China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China; Melbourne Sexual Health Centre, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia; Central Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, China; Corresponding author at: China-Australia Joint Research Center for Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, Xi’an Jiaotong University Health Science Center, Xi’an, Shaanxi, 710061, PR China.Hubei province in China has completed cycle of quarantine-resumption in 23rd Janauary and 8th April 2020, providing a unique opportunity as for now to assess its intervention impact and the pattern of SARS-COV-2 transmission during the quarantine period. In this study, we evaluate the impact of the metropolitan-wide quarantine on the trend and transmission route of the COVID-19 epidemic in Hubei, China. The intervention reduces more than 70% of new infections in both households and the public space, as well as the deaths caused by COVID-19 pneumonia. Household transmission is the dominant route of disease spread regardless of quarantine. This will provide important evidence and scientific insights to other worldwide countries that are currently under quarantine.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030326XCOVID-19Metropolitan-wide quarantinePublic spaceHouseholds
spellingShingle Mingwang Shen
Zhihang Peng
Yuming Guo
Libin Rong
Yan Li
Yanni Xiao
Guihua Zhuang
Lei Zhang
Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
COVID-19
Metropolitan-wide quarantine
Public space
Households
title Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
title_full Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
title_fullStr Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
title_short Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households
title_sort assessing the effects of metropolitan wide quarantine on the spread of covid 19 in public space and households
topic COVID-19
Metropolitan-wide quarantine
Public space
Households
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S120197122030326X
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