Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region

The standardized precipitation index (SPI) is one of the most widely used indices for characterizing and monitoring drought in various regions. SPI's applicability has regional and time-scale constraints when it observes in several homogeneous climatic regions with similar characteristics. It a...

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Main Authors: Rizwan Niaz, Mohammed M. A. Almazah, Ijaz Hussain, Joao Dehon Pontes Filho, Nadhir Al-Ansari, Saad Sh Sammen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi-Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3139870
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author Rizwan Niaz
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Joao Dehon Pontes Filho
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Saad Sh Sammen
author_facet Rizwan Niaz
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Joao Dehon Pontes Filho
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Saad Sh Sammen
author_sort Rizwan Niaz
collection DOAJ
description The standardized precipitation index (SPI) is one of the most widely used indices for characterizing and monitoring drought in various regions. SPI's applicability has regional and time-scale constraints when it observes in several homogeneous climatic regions with similar characteristics. It also does not provide sufficient knowledge about precipitation deficits and the spatiotemporal evolution of drought. Therefore, a new method, the regional spatially agglomerative continuous drought probability monitoring system (RSACDPMS), is proposed to obtain spatiotemporal information and monitor drought characteristics more expeditiously. The proposed framework uses spatially agglomerative precipitation (SAP) and copulas’ functions to continuously monitor the drought probability in the homogenous region. The RSACDPMS is validated in the region of the Northern area of Pakistan. The outcomes of the current study provide a better quantitative way to obtain appropriate information about precipitation deficits and the spatiotemporal evolution of drought.
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spelling doaj.art-ceeaead03018468c9d7b65ebbeeee5922023-06-29T00:00:22ZengHindawi-WileyComplexity1099-05262022-01-01202210.1155/2022/3139870Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous RegionRizwan Niaz0Mohammed M. A. Almazah1Ijaz Hussain2Joao Dehon Pontes Filho3Nadhir Al-Ansari4Saad Sh Sammen5Department of StatisticsDepartment of Mathematics, College of Sciences and Arts (Muhyil)Department of StatisticsHydraulic and Environmental Engineering Department (DEHA)Department of Civil, Environmental and Natural Resources EngineeringDepartment of Civil Engineering, College of EngineeringThe standardized precipitation index (SPI) is one of the most widely used indices for characterizing and monitoring drought in various regions. SPI's applicability has regional and time-scale constraints when it observes in several homogeneous climatic regions with similar characteristics. It also does not provide sufficient knowledge about precipitation deficits and the spatiotemporal evolution of drought. Therefore, a new method, the regional spatially agglomerative continuous drought probability monitoring system (RSACDPMS), is proposed to obtain spatiotemporal information and monitor drought characteristics more expeditiously. The proposed framework uses spatially agglomerative precipitation (SAP) and copulas’ functions to continuously monitor the drought probability in the homogenous region. The RSACDPMS is validated in the region of the Northern area of Pakistan. The outcomes of the current study provide a better quantitative way to obtain appropriate information about precipitation deficits and the spatiotemporal evolution of drought.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3139870
spellingShingle Rizwan Niaz
Mohammed M. A. Almazah
Ijaz Hussain
Joao Dehon Pontes Filho
Nadhir Al-Ansari
Saad Sh Sammen
Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region
Complexity
title Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region
title_full Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region
title_fullStr Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region
title_full_unstemmed Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region
title_short Assessing the Probability of Drought Severity in a Homogeneous Region
title_sort assessing the probability of drought severity in a homogeneous region
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3139870
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