Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China
The issue of global water shortage is a serious concern. The scientific evaluation of water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) serves as the foundation for implementing measures to protect water resources. In addition, most of the studies are based on the analysis and research of regional WRCC from t...
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Elsevier
2024-03-01
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Series: | Ecological Indicators |
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Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24003649 |
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author | Qiran Song Zhaocai Wang Tunhua Wu |
author_facet | Qiran Song Zhaocai Wang Tunhua Wu |
author_sort | Qiran Song |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The issue of global water shortage is a serious concern. The scientific evaluation of water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) serves as the foundation for implementing measures to protect water resources. In addition, most of the studies are based on the analysis and research of regional WRCC from the aspects of water quantity and water quality. There are few studies on the four aspects of water resources endowment conditions, society, economy and ecological environment, which is difficult to scientifically and accurately reflect the analysis and evaluation of regional WRCC by the four systems. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct a deeper discussion and Analysis on this topic. This study presents a WRCC index system and corresponding ranking criteria based on 20 influencing factors from four aspects: water resources endowment (WRE), economy, society, and ecological environment. In addition, by combining the improved entropy weighting method (EWM) with gray correlation analysis, the weighted gray technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) model is proposed for analyzing and assessing WRCC risk. Finally, the WRCC of the study area from 2012 to 2021 is comprehensively evaluated in the central plains region of China (CPROC) as an example. The results show that the comprehensive evaluation obtained a multi-year average value of 0.2935, and the water resources shortage in the CPROC is generally in grade III status. The comprehensive average value of Beijing is 0.345, and the comprehensive average value of Henan is 0.397. The overall degree of water resources shortage is in the state of grade V shortage, Shaanxi is in the state of grade IV shortage, and the degree of water resources in Tianjin and Shanxi is relatively good. This study provides corresponding scientific basis and methodological guidance for the sustainable utilization of water resources and healthy socio-economic performance in the CPROC. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-24T10:57:52Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-cf03661f62d34efc98495ce97ffef886 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1470-160X |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T10:57:52Z |
publishDate | 2024-03-01 |
publisher | Elsevier |
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series | Ecological Indicators |
spelling | doaj.art-cf03661f62d34efc98495ce97ffef8862024-04-12T04:44:54ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2024-03-01160111907Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of ChinaQiran Song0Zhaocai Wang1Tunhua Wu2College of Engineering, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, PR ChinaCollege of Engineering, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, PR China; Corresponding authors.School of Information Engineering, Wenzhou Business College, Wenzhou 325035, PR China; Corresponding authors.The issue of global water shortage is a serious concern. The scientific evaluation of water resource carrying capacity (WRCC) serves as the foundation for implementing measures to protect water resources. In addition, most of the studies are based on the analysis and research of regional WRCC from the aspects of water quantity and water quality. There are few studies on the four aspects of water resources endowment conditions, society, economy and ecological environment, which is difficult to scientifically and accurately reflect the analysis and evaluation of regional WRCC by the four systems. Therefore, it is necessary to conduct a deeper discussion and Analysis on this topic. This study presents a WRCC index system and corresponding ranking criteria based on 20 influencing factors from four aspects: water resources endowment (WRE), economy, society, and ecological environment. In addition, by combining the improved entropy weighting method (EWM) with gray correlation analysis, the weighted gray technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) model is proposed for analyzing and assessing WRCC risk. Finally, the WRCC of the study area from 2012 to 2021 is comprehensively evaluated in the central plains region of China (CPROC) as an example. The results show that the comprehensive evaluation obtained a multi-year average value of 0.2935, and the water resources shortage in the CPROC is generally in grade III status. The comprehensive average value of Beijing is 0.345, and the comprehensive average value of Henan is 0.397. The overall degree of water resources shortage is in the state of grade V shortage, Shaanxi is in the state of grade IV shortage, and the degree of water resources in Tianjin and Shanxi is relatively good. This study provides corresponding scientific basis and methodological guidance for the sustainable utilization of water resources and healthy socio-economic performance in the CPROC.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24003649Water resource carrying capacityEvaluation index systemImproved entropy weight-grey TOPSIS modelRisk analysis and assessment |
spellingShingle | Qiran Song Zhaocai Wang Tunhua Wu Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China Ecological Indicators Water resource carrying capacity Evaluation index system Improved entropy weight-grey TOPSIS model Risk analysis and assessment |
title | Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China |
title_full | Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China |
title_fullStr | Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China |
title_full_unstemmed | Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China |
title_short | Risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of China |
title_sort | risk analysis and assessment of water resource carrying capacity based on weighted gray model with improved entropy weighting method in the central plains region of china |
topic | Water resource carrying capacity Evaluation index system Improved entropy weight-grey TOPSIS model Risk analysis and assessment |
url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X24003649 |
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