Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years

In order to improve the understanding of formation and development mechanisms and the forecast accuracy of heavy rain in China, in this paper, we introduce important achievements related to mechanisms and prediction of heavy rain since the foundation of New China 70 years ago. Firstly, the tropical...

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Main Authors: Sixiong ZHAO, Jianhua SUN
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Torrential Rain and Disasters 2019-10-01
Series:暴雨灾害
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.byzh.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.05.004
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author Sixiong ZHAO
Jianhua SUN
author_facet Sixiong ZHAO
Jianhua SUN
author_sort Sixiong ZHAO
collection DOAJ
description In order to improve the understanding of formation and development mechanisms and the forecast accuracy of heavy rain in China, in this paper, we introduce important achievements related to mechanisms and prediction of heavy rain since the foundation of New China 70 years ago. Firstly, the tropical monsoon and its variation, the influence of the Western Pacific subtropical high and blocking high on the heavy rain are introduced. Then, the main progress of heavy rain in Meiyu period, heavy rainfall in North China and pre-rainy season in South China, heavy rain produced by landfall typhoon and severe heavy rain in western China, the influences of Tibetan Plateau and other different terrains on heavy rain are summarized, respectively. Finally, the prospects and problems of developing more accurate quantitative prediction methods or systems for heavy rain are discussed. Based on the above achievements, some scientific questions in the research and operational forecasting of heavy rain in the future are proposed.
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spelling doaj.art-cf264a3f66fc4c6584698107c70fce5a2023-07-06T05:00:07ZzhoEditorial Office of Torrential Rain and Disasters暴雨灾害2097-21642019-10-0138542243010.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.05.0042598Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 yearsSixiong ZHAO0Jianhua SUN1Laboratory of Cloud Precipitation Physics and Severe Storm, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029Laboratory of Cloud Precipitation Physics and Severe Storm, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029In order to improve the understanding of formation and development mechanisms and the forecast accuracy of heavy rain in China, in this paper, we introduce important achievements related to mechanisms and prediction of heavy rain since the foundation of New China 70 years ago. Firstly, the tropical monsoon and its variation, the influence of the Western Pacific subtropical high and blocking high on the heavy rain are introduced. Then, the main progress of heavy rain in Meiyu period, heavy rainfall in North China and pre-rainy season in South China, heavy rain produced by landfall typhoon and severe heavy rain in western China, the influences of Tibetan Plateau and other different terrains on heavy rain are summarized, respectively. Finally, the prospects and problems of developing more accurate quantitative prediction methods or systems for heavy rain are discussed. Based on the above achievements, some scientific questions in the research and operational forecasting of heavy rain in the future are proposed.http://www.byzh.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.05.004heavy rain mechanismheavy rain forecastnumerical forecastweather systemterrain influence
spellingShingle Sixiong ZHAO
Jianhua SUN
Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years
暴雨灾害
heavy rain mechanism
heavy rain forecast
numerical forecast
weather system
terrain influence
title Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years
title_full Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years
title_fullStr Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years
title_full_unstemmed Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years
title_short Progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in China in recent 70 years
title_sort progress of mechanism and forecast for heavy rain in china in recent 70 years
topic heavy rain mechanism
heavy rain forecast
numerical forecast
weather system
terrain influence
url http://www.byzh.org.cn/cn/article/doi/10.3969/j.issn.1004-9045.2019.05.004
work_keys_str_mv AT sixiongzhao progressofmechanismandforecastforheavyraininchinainrecent70years
AT jianhuasun progressofmechanismandforecastforheavyraininchinainrecent70years