The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study

Abstract Background The global increase in mean body mass index has resulted in a substantial increase of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), including in many low- and middle-income countries such as Kenya. This paper assesses four interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesit...

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Main Authors: Mary Njeri Wanjau, Lucy W. Kivuti-Bitok, Leopold N. Aminde, J. Lennert Veerman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2023-09-01
Series:Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12962-023-00467-3
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author Mary Njeri Wanjau
Lucy W. Kivuti-Bitok
Leopold N. Aminde
J. Lennert Veerman
author_facet Mary Njeri Wanjau
Lucy W. Kivuti-Bitok
Leopold N. Aminde
J. Lennert Veerman
author_sort Mary Njeri Wanjau
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background The global increase in mean body mass index has resulted in a substantial increase of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), including in many low- and middle-income countries such as Kenya. This paper assesses four interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya to determine their potential health and economic impact and cost effectiveness. Methods We reviewed the literature to identify evidence of effect, determine the intervention costs, disease costs and total healthcare costs. We used a proportional multistate life table model to quantify the potential impacts on health conditions and healthcare costs, modelling the 2019 Kenya population over their remaining lifetime. Considering a health system perspective, two interventions were assessed for cost-effectiveness. In addition, we used the Human Capital Approach to estimate productivity gains. Results Over the lifetime of the 2019 population, impacts were estimated at 203,266 health-adjusted life years (HALYs) (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 163,752 − 249,621) for a 20% tax on sugar-sweetened beverages, 151,718 HALYs (95% UI 55,257 − 250,412) for mandatory kilojoule menu labelling, 3.7 million HALYs (95% UI 2,661,365–4,789,915) for a change in consumption levels related to supermarket food purchase patterns and 13.1 million HALYs (95% UI 11,404,317 − 15,152,341) for a change in national consumption back to the 1975 average levels of energy intake. This translates to 4, 3, 73 and 261 HALYs per 1,000 persons. Lifetime healthcare cost savings were approximately United States Dollar (USD) 0.14 billion (USD 3 per capita), USD 0.08 billion (USD 2 per capita), USD 1.9 billion (USD 38 per capita) and USD 6.2 billion (USD 124 per capita), respectively. Lifetime productivity gains were approximately USD 1.8 billion, USD 1.2 billion, USD 28 billion and USD 92 billion. Both the 20% tax on sugar sweetened beverages and the mandatory kilojoule menu labelling were assessed for cost effectiveness and found dominant (health promoting and cost-saving). Conclusion All interventions evaluated yielded substantive health gains and economic benefits and should be considered for implementation in Kenya.
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spelling doaj.art-cf28c00e06964669b071b96e929dc49f2023-11-26T13:27:38ZengBMCCost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation1478-75472023-09-0121112110.1186/s12962-023-00467-3The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling studyMary Njeri Wanjau0Lucy W. Kivuti-Bitok1Leopold N. Aminde2J. Lennert Veerman3School of Medicine & Dentistry, Griffith UniversitySchool of Medicine & Dentistry, Griffith UniversitySchool of Medicine & Dentistry, Griffith UniversitySchool of Medicine & Dentistry, Griffith UniversityAbstract Background The global increase in mean body mass index has resulted in a substantial increase of non-communicable diseases (NCDs), including in many low- and middle-income countries such as Kenya. This paper assesses four interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya to determine their potential health and economic impact and cost effectiveness. Methods We reviewed the literature to identify evidence of effect, determine the intervention costs, disease costs and total healthcare costs. We used a proportional multistate life table model to quantify the potential impacts on health conditions and healthcare costs, modelling the 2019 Kenya population over their remaining lifetime. Considering a health system perspective, two interventions were assessed for cost-effectiveness. In addition, we used the Human Capital Approach to estimate productivity gains. Results Over the lifetime of the 2019 population, impacts were estimated at 203,266 health-adjusted life years (HALYs) (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 163,752 − 249,621) for a 20% tax on sugar-sweetened beverages, 151,718 HALYs (95% UI 55,257 − 250,412) for mandatory kilojoule menu labelling, 3.7 million HALYs (95% UI 2,661,365–4,789,915) for a change in consumption levels related to supermarket food purchase patterns and 13.1 million HALYs (95% UI 11,404,317 − 15,152,341) for a change in national consumption back to the 1975 average levels of energy intake. This translates to 4, 3, 73 and 261 HALYs per 1,000 persons. Lifetime healthcare cost savings were approximately United States Dollar (USD) 0.14 billion (USD 3 per capita), USD 0.08 billion (USD 2 per capita), USD 1.9 billion (USD 38 per capita) and USD 6.2 billion (USD 124 per capita), respectively. Lifetime productivity gains were approximately USD 1.8 billion, USD 1.2 billion, USD 28 billion and USD 92 billion. Both the 20% tax on sugar sweetened beverages and the mandatory kilojoule menu labelling were assessed for cost effectiveness and found dominant (health promoting and cost-saving). Conclusion All interventions evaluated yielded substantive health gains and economic benefits and should be considered for implementation in Kenya.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12962-023-00467-3High body massOverweightObesityNon-communicable diseaseCostsHealth impact
spellingShingle Mary Njeri Wanjau
Lucy W. Kivuti-Bitok
Leopold N. Aminde
J. Lennert Veerman
The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study
Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation
High body mass
Overweight
Obesity
Non-communicable disease
Costs
Health impact
title The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study
title_full The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study
title_fullStr The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study
title_full_unstemmed The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study
title_short The health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in Kenya: a stakeholder engaged modelling study
title_sort health and economic impact and cost effectiveness of interventions for the prevention and control of overweight and obesity in kenya a stakeholder engaged modelling study
topic High body mass
Overweight
Obesity
Non-communicable disease
Costs
Health impact
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12962-023-00467-3
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