NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT

ABSTRACT Urban afforestation has important functions, but problems related to its management are equally relevant, analysis of which is needed in order to prevent accidents. However, due to the subjectivity in the assessment, there may be uncertainty as to the seriousness of the risk. In order to ad...

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Main Authors: Adriano Bressane, João Augusto Bagatini, Carlos Humberto Biagolini, José Arnaldo Frutuoso Roveda, Sandra Regina Monteiro Masalskiene Roveda, Felipe Hashimoto Fengler, Regina Márcia Longo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sociedade de Investigações Florestais 2018-08-01
Series:Revista Árvore
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-67622018000100205&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Adriano Bressane
João Augusto Bagatini
Carlos Humberto Biagolini
José Arnaldo Frutuoso Roveda
Sandra Regina Monteiro Masalskiene Roveda
Felipe Hashimoto Fengler
Regina Márcia Longo
author_facet Adriano Bressane
João Augusto Bagatini
Carlos Humberto Biagolini
José Arnaldo Frutuoso Roveda
Sandra Regina Monteiro Masalskiene Roveda
Felipe Hashimoto Fengler
Regina Márcia Longo
author_sort Adriano Bressane
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Urban afforestation has important functions, but problems related to its management are equally relevant, analysis of which is needed in order to prevent accidents. However, due to the subjectivity in the assessment, there may be uncertainty as to the seriousness of the risk. In order to address this, the present work evaluates a neuro-fuzzy-based methodology for the integrated analysis of risk indicators. From the knowledge of experts and a database with 107 cases, systems were constructed for the multi-criteria analysis of 18 parameters integrated using 3 indexes and 5 indicators. As a result, the model presented accuracies of 95.5% in generalization tests, and almost perfect agreement (kappa > 0.8) with the assessment by the expert. In conclusion, the findings show that this neuro-fuzzy modeling approach represents a promising alternative for supporting risk analysis in urban afforestation.
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spelling doaj.art-cf294efa2cc2455bb056b034922cacda2022-12-22T01:57:32ZengSociedade de Investigações FlorestaisRevista Árvore1806-90882018-08-0142110.1590/1806-90882018000100006S0100-67622018000100205NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENTAdriano BressaneJoão Augusto BagatiniCarlos Humberto BiagoliniJosé Arnaldo Frutuoso RovedaSandra Regina Monteiro Masalskiene RovedaFelipe Hashimoto FenglerRegina Márcia LongoABSTRACT Urban afforestation has important functions, but problems related to its management are equally relevant, analysis of which is needed in order to prevent accidents. However, due to the subjectivity in the assessment, there may be uncertainty as to the seriousness of the risk. In order to address this, the present work evaluates a neuro-fuzzy-based methodology for the integrated analysis of risk indicators. From the knowledge of experts and a database with 107 cases, systems were constructed for the multi-criteria analysis of 18 parameters integrated using 3 indexes and 5 indicators. As a result, the model presented accuracies of 95.5% in generalization tests, and almost perfect agreement (kappa > 0.8) with the assessment by the expert. In conclusion, the findings show that this neuro-fuzzy modeling approach represents a promising alternative for supporting risk analysis in urban afforestation.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-67622018000100205&lng=en&tlng=enRisk indicatorsIntegrated analysisUncertainties
spellingShingle Adriano Bressane
João Augusto Bagatini
Carlos Humberto Biagolini
José Arnaldo Frutuoso Roveda
Sandra Regina Monteiro Masalskiene Roveda
Felipe Hashimoto Fengler
Regina Márcia Longo
NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT
Revista Árvore
Risk indicators
Integrated analysis
Uncertainties
title NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT
title_full NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT
title_fullStr NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT
title_full_unstemmed NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT
title_short NEURO-FUZZY MODELING: A PROMISING ALTERNATIVE FOR RISK ANALYSIS IN URBAN AFFORESTATION MANAGEMENT
title_sort neuro fuzzy modeling a promising alternative for risk analysis in urban afforestation management
topic Risk indicators
Integrated analysis
Uncertainties
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0100-67622018000100205&lng=en&tlng=en
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