Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging
One of the most important goals of economic policymakers in every country is to achieve high economic growth. For this purpose, this study aims to identify the most important variables affecting Iran's economic growth in the period of 1981 - 2021 using the dynamic averaging model. The results s...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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Semnan University
2023-08-01
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| Series: | مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_7783_d429da0e339d4047f3557784d1c0a8f4.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797296767652331520 |
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| author | Sanaz Rahimi Kahkashi Omid Ali Adeli Mohammad Hasan Maleki Soheil Roudari |
| author_facet | Sanaz Rahimi Kahkashi Omid Ali Adeli Mohammad Hasan Maleki Soheil Roudari |
| author_sort | Sanaz Rahimi Kahkashi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | One of the most important goals of economic policymakers in every country is to achieve high economic growth. For this purpose, this study aims to identify the most important variables affecting Iran's economic growth in the period of 1981 - 2021 using the dynamic averaging model. The results showed that in Iran's economy, the variables of current government expenditures, tax revenues, income inequality, household consumption expenditures, and domestic investment are the most important variables affecting economic growth. Also, the results showed that the manner and probability of these variables influencing economic growth over time are not constant and are subject to exogenous impulses such as revolution, war, oil price shocks, applied economic policies, structural changes, and sanctions. The results showed that in Iran's economy, the variables of current government expenditures, tax revenues, income inequality, household consumption expenditures, and domestic investment are the most important variables affecting economic growth respectively. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T22:09:34Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-cf8112bbddd047c39d54589e3987feb3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2345-654X 2821-2150 |
| language | fas |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T22:09:34Z |
| publishDate | 2023-08-01 |
| publisher | Semnan University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی |
| spelling | doaj.art-cf8112bbddd047c39d54589e3987feb32024-02-23T18:09:27ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502023-08-0182356710.22075/jem.2023.29050.17827783Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averagingSanaz Rahimi Kahkashi0Omid Ali Adeli1Mohammad Hasan Maleki2Soheil Roudari3PhD student, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Qom UniversityAssociate Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Qom UniversityAssociate Professor, Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Qom UniversityAssistant Professor, Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Qom UniversityOne of the most important goals of economic policymakers in every country is to achieve high economic growth. For this purpose, this study aims to identify the most important variables affecting Iran's economic growth in the period of 1981 - 2021 using the dynamic averaging model. The results showed that in Iran's economy, the variables of current government expenditures, tax revenues, income inequality, household consumption expenditures, and domestic investment are the most important variables affecting economic growth. Also, the results showed that the manner and probability of these variables influencing economic growth over time are not constant and are subject to exogenous impulses such as revolution, war, oil price shocks, applied economic policies, structural changes, and sanctions. The results showed that in Iran's economy, the variables of current government expenditures, tax revenues, income inequality, household consumption expenditures, and domestic investment are the most important variables affecting economic growth respectively.https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_7783_d429da0e339d4047f3557784d1c0a8f4.pdfeconomic growthcurrent government expenditurestax revenuestvp-dma model |
| spellingShingle | Sanaz Rahimi Kahkashi Omid Ali Adeli Mohammad Hasan Maleki Soheil Roudari Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی economic growth current government expenditures tax revenues tvp-dma model |
| title | Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging |
| title_full | Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging |
| title_fullStr | Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging |
| title_short | Predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of Iran with the approach of time-varying parameters -dynamic model averaging |
| title_sort | predicting the effect of factors affecting economic growth of iran with the approach of time varying parameters dynamic model averaging |
| topic | economic growth current government expenditures tax revenues tvp-dma model |
| url | https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_7783_d429da0e339d4047f3557784d1c0a8f4.pdf |
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