Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?

ABSTRACT Stroke mortality rates are declining in Brazil, but diferences among regions need to be better investigated. The age-adjusted stroke mortality trends among adults (30-69 years-old) from Brazilian regions were studied between 1996 and 2011. Method Data were analyzed after: 1) reallocation...

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Main Authors: Valéria M. A. Passos, Lenice H. Ishitani, Glaura C. Franco, Gustavo C. Lana, Daisy M. X. Abreu, Maria de Fatima Marinho, Elisabeth B. França
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Academia Brasileira de Neurologia (ABNEURO) 2016-05-01
Series:Arquivos de Neuro-Psiquiatria
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0004-282X2016000500376&lng=en&tlng=en
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author Valéria M. A. Passos
Lenice H. Ishitani
Glaura C. Franco
Gustavo C. Lana
Daisy M. X. Abreu
Maria de Fatima Marinho
Elisabeth B. França
author_facet Valéria M. A. Passos
Lenice H. Ishitani
Glaura C. Franco
Gustavo C. Lana
Daisy M. X. Abreu
Maria de Fatima Marinho
Elisabeth B. França
author_sort Valéria M. A. Passos
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Stroke mortality rates are declining in Brazil, but diferences among regions need to be better investigated. The age-adjusted stroke mortality trends among adults (30-69 years-old) from Brazilian regions were studied between 1996 and 2011. Method Data were analyzed after: 1) reallocation of deaths with non-registered sex or age; 2) redistribution of garbage codes and 3) underreporting correction. A linear regression model with autoregressive errors and a state space model were fitted to the data, aiming the estimation of annual trends at every point in time. Results Although there were high values, a steady decrease of rates was observed. The decreasing trends among all regions were statistically significant, with higher values of decline among the Northeast and Northern regions, where rates were the highest. Conclusion Standardized methodology use is mandatory for correct interpretation of mortality estimates. Although declining, rates are still extremely high and efforts must be made towards prevention of stroke incidence, reduction of case-fatality rates and prevention of sequelae.
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spelling doaj.art-cf842a0d6f53485c9c797fa26d30245b2022-12-22T03:22:53ZengAcademia Brasileira de Neurologia (ABNEURO)Arquivos de Neuro-Psiquiatria1678-42272016-05-0174537638110.1590/0004-282X20160055S0004-282X2016000500376Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?Valéria M. A. PassosLenice H. IshitaniGlaura C. FrancoGustavo C. LanaDaisy M. X. AbreuMaria de Fatima MarinhoElisabeth B. FrançaABSTRACT Stroke mortality rates are declining in Brazil, but diferences among regions need to be better investigated. The age-adjusted stroke mortality trends among adults (30-69 years-old) from Brazilian regions were studied between 1996 and 2011. Method Data were analyzed after: 1) reallocation of deaths with non-registered sex or age; 2) redistribution of garbage codes and 3) underreporting correction. A linear regression model with autoregressive errors and a state space model were fitted to the data, aiming the estimation of annual trends at every point in time. Results Although there were high values, a steady decrease of rates was observed. The decreasing trends among all regions were statistically significant, with higher values of decline among the Northeast and Northern regions, where rates were the highest. Conclusion Standardized methodology use is mandatory for correct interpretation of mortality estimates. Although declining, rates are still extremely high and efforts must be made towards prevention of stroke incidence, reduction of case-fatality rates and prevention of sequelae.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0004-282X2016000500376&lng=en&tlng=enacidente vascular cerebralmortalidadedesigualdades em saúde
spellingShingle Valéria M. A. Passos
Lenice H. Ishitani
Glaura C. Franco
Gustavo C. Lana
Daisy M. X. Abreu
Maria de Fatima Marinho
Elisabeth B. França
Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?
Arquivos de Neuro-Psiquiatria
acidente vascular cerebral
mortalidade
desigualdades em saúde
title Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?
title_full Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?
title_fullStr Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?
title_full_unstemmed Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?
title_short Consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in Brazil: mission accomplished?
title_sort consistent declining trends in stroke mortality in brazil mission accomplished
topic acidente vascular cerebral
mortalidade
desigualdades em saúde
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0004-282X2016000500376&lng=en&tlng=en
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