An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan

Oil is a crucial economic input and Pakistan’s growth, production levels, and price levels are affected significantly by oil price volatility. This paper captures the impact of oil price shocks on Pakistan’s economy by considering variables such as gross domestic product, the wholesale price index,...

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Main Authors: Abdul Rafay, Saqib Farid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Lahore School of Economics 2015-10-01
Series:The Lahore Journal of Business
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.lahoreschool.edu.pk/LJB/LJB/article/view/37
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author Abdul Rafay
Saqib Farid
author_facet Abdul Rafay
Saqib Farid
author_sort Abdul Rafay
collection DOAJ
description Oil is a crucial economic input and Pakistan’s growth, production levels, and price levels are affected significantly by oil price volatility. This paper captures the impact of oil price shocks on Pakistan’s economy by considering variables such as gross domestic product, the wholesale price index, and largescale manufacturing index. Our analysis is based on vector autoregression and the results are in line with similar studies. We also determine the precise shortterm or long-term impact of oil price volatility on the relevant variables.
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spelling doaj.art-cf8a214c2a45470d9132f9252e74f9f32025-03-11T18:18:55ZengLahore School of EconomicsThe Lahore Journal of Business2223-00252791-31392015-10-0141An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From PakistanAbdul Rafay0Saqib Farid1Associate professor of finance and accounting, University of Management and Technology, Lahore.MS scholar, University of Management and Technology, Lahore. Oil is a crucial economic input and Pakistan’s growth, production levels, and price levels are affected significantly by oil price volatility. This paper captures the impact of oil price shocks on Pakistan’s economy by considering variables such as gross domestic product, the wholesale price index, and largescale manufacturing index. Our analysis is based on vector autoregression and the results are in line with similar studies. We also determine the precise shortterm or long-term impact of oil price volatility on the relevant variables. https://journals.lahoreschool.edu.pk/LJB/LJB/article/view/37vector autoregressiongross domestic productwholesale price indexlarge scale manufacturing indexoil price volatility
spellingShingle Abdul Rafay
Saqib Farid
An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan
The Lahore Journal of Business
vector autoregression
gross domestic product
wholesale price index
large scale manufacturing index
oil price volatility
title An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan
title_full An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan
title_fullStr An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan
title_short An Analysis of Oil Price Volatility Using VAR: Evidence From Pakistan
title_sort analysis of oil price volatility using var evidence from pakistan
topic vector autoregression
gross domestic product
wholesale price index
large scale manufacturing index
oil price volatility
url https://journals.lahoreschool.edu.pk/LJB/LJB/article/view/37
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