Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy [version 1; peer review: 2 approved]

Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Gabriele Ruiu, Maria Laura Ruiu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2020-05-01
Series:Emerald Open Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://emeraldopenresearch.com/articles/2-25/v1
Description
Summary:Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people’s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.
ISSN:2631-3952