Structural assessment and expected utility gain

This paper contains an introduction, probabilistic formulation, and exemplification (1) of system state and utility actions, (2) system state and utility action value analysis and (3) a threshold formulation for a predicted information and action decision analysis. The approaches build upon structur...

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Main Author: Sebastian Thöns
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: CTU Central Library 2022-08-01
Series:Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8423
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author Sebastian Thöns
author_facet Sebastian Thöns
author_sort Sebastian Thöns
collection DOAJ
description This paper contains an introduction, probabilistic formulation, and exemplification (1) of system state and utility actions, (2) system state and utility action value analysis and (3) a threshold formulation for a predicted information and action decision analysis. The approaches build upon structural condition assessment and provide a basis for the condition management by maximising the expected utility for information and actions before information acquirement and action implementation. Following the basic distinction of system state and utility actions, strengthening, replacement, repair, load reduction and consequence reduction actions are formulated. With an exemplary study encompassing an expected utility calculation and an action value analysis, it is demonstrated how expected utility optimal physical system changes can be identified before implementation. The threshold formulation for a predicted information and action decision analysis relies on the equality of the decision theoretical posterior action optimality condition. By extending the exemplary predicted action decision analyses with different structural health information (SHI), the threshold formulation is exemplified and the optimal condition management strategies are identified.
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spelling doaj.art-d00462ba86104362b09651eb5bba686a2022-12-22T03:16:36ZengCTU Central LibraryActa Polytechnica CTU Proceedings2336-53822022-08-0136152410.14311/APP.2022.36.00155663Structural assessment and expected utility gainSebastian Thöns0Lund University, Faculty of Engineering, Box 117, 221 00 Lund, Sweden; BAM Federal Institute for Materials Research and Testing, Unter den Eichen 87, 12205 Berlin, GermanyThis paper contains an introduction, probabilistic formulation, and exemplification (1) of system state and utility actions, (2) system state and utility action value analysis and (3) a threshold formulation for a predicted information and action decision analysis. The approaches build upon structural condition assessment and provide a basis for the condition management by maximising the expected utility for information and actions before information acquirement and action implementation. Following the basic distinction of system state and utility actions, strengthening, replacement, repair, load reduction and consequence reduction actions are formulated. With an exemplary study encompassing an expected utility calculation and an action value analysis, it is demonstrated how expected utility optimal physical system changes can be identified before implementation. The threshold formulation for a predicted information and action decision analysis relies on the equality of the decision theoretical posterior action optimality condition. By extending the exemplary predicted action decision analyses with different structural health information (SHI), the threshold formulation is exemplified and the optimal condition management strategies are identified.https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8423structural condition managementaction uncertainty modellingaction and information value
spellingShingle Sebastian Thöns
Structural assessment and expected utility gain
Acta Polytechnica CTU Proceedings
structural condition management
action uncertainty modelling
action and information value
title Structural assessment and expected utility gain
title_full Structural assessment and expected utility gain
title_fullStr Structural assessment and expected utility gain
title_full_unstemmed Structural assessment and expected utility gain
title_short Structural assessment and expected utility gain
title_sort structural assessment and expected utility gain
topic structural condition management
action uncertainty modelling
action and information value
url https://ojs.cvut.cz/ojs/index.php/APP/article/view/8423
work_keys_str_mv AT sebastianthons structuralassessmentandexpectedutilitygain