Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions

Nowadays, various fields in environmental sciences require the availability of appropriate techniques to exploit the information given by multivariate spatial or spatio-temporal observations. In particular, radon flux data which are of high interest to monitor greenhouse gas emissions and to assess...

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Main Authors: Sandra De Iaco, Claudia Cappello, Antonella Congedi, Monica Palma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/25/7/1104
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author Sandra De Iaco
Claudia Cappello
Antonella Congedi
Monica Palma
author_facet Sandra De Iaco
Claudia Cappello
Antonella Congedi
Monica Palma
author_sort Sandra De Iaco
collection DOAJ
description Nowadays, various fields in environmental sciences require the availability of appropriate techniques to exploit the information given by multivariate spatial or spatio-temporal observations. In particular, radon flux data which are of high interest to monitor greenhouse gas emissions and to assess human exposure to indoor radon are determined by the deposit of uranium and radio (precursor elements). Furthermore, they are also affected by various atmospheric variables, such as humidity, temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration. To this aim, a significant role can be recognized to the tools of multivariate geostatistics which supports the modeling and prediction of variables under study. In this paper, the spatio-temporal distribution of radon flux densities over the Veneto Region (Italy) and its estimation at unsampled points in space and time are discussed. In particular, the spatio-temporal linear coregionalization model is identified on the basis of the joint diagonalization of the empirical covariance matrices evaluated at different spatio-temporal lags and is used to produce predicted radon flux maps for different months. Probability maps, that the radon flux density in the upcoming months is greater than three historical statistics, are then built. This might be of interest especially in summer months when the risk of radon exhalation is higher. Moreover, a comparison with respect to alternative models in the univariate and multivariate context is provided.
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spelling doaj.art-d00ffc0845c64a4d91c80e0c0ca4078a2023-11-18T19:14:53ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002023-07-01257110410.3390/e25071104Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux PredictionsSandra De Iaco0Claudia Cappello1Antonella Congedi2Monica Palma3National Future Center of Biodiversity, 90133 Palermo, ItalyDES-Sect. of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Salento, 73100 Lecce, ItalyDES-Sect. of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Salento, 73100 Lecce, ItalyDES-Sect. of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Salento, 73100 Lecce, ItalyNowadays, various fields in environmental sciences require the availability of appropriate techniques to exploit the information given by multivariate spatial or spatio-temporal observations. In particular, radon flux data which are of high interest to monitor greenhouse gas emissions and to assess human exposure to indoor radon are determined by the deposit of uranium and radio (precursor elements). Furthermore, they are also affected by various atmospheric variables, such as humidity, temperature, precipitation and evapotranspiration. To this aim, a significant role can be recognized to the tools of multivariate geostatistics which supports the modeling and prediction of variables under study. In this paper, the spatio-temporal distribution of radon flux densities over the Veneto Region (Italy) and its estimation at unsampled points in space and time are discussed. In particular, the spatio-temporal linear coregionalization model is identified on the basis of the joint diagonalization of the empirical covariance matrices evaluated at different spatio-temporal lags and is used to produce predicted radon flux maps for different months. Probability maps, that the radon flux density in the upcoming months is greater than three historical statistics, are then built. This might be of interest especially in summer months when the risk of radon exhalation is higher. Moreover, a comparison with respect to alternative models in the univariate and multivariate context is provided.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/25/7/1104multiple correlationspace–time coregionalization modelspace–time predictioncokriging
spellingShingle Sandra De Iaco
Claudia Cappello
Antonella Congedi
Monica Palma
Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions
Entropy
multiple correlation
space–time coregionalization model
space–time prediction
cokriging
title Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions
title_full Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions
title_fullStr Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions
title_full_unstemmed Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions
title_short Multivariate Modeling for Spatio-Temporal Radon Flux Predictions
title_sort multivariate modeling for spatio temporal radon flux predictions
topic multiple correlation
space–time coregionalization model
space–time prediction
cokriging
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/25/7/1104
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AT monicapalma multivariatemodelingforspatiotemporalradonfluxpredictions