Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites

Abstract The ice accretion load in Canadian structural design codes is developed based on an operational ice accretion prediction model. In the present study, three models are employed to predict the ice accretion amount on a flat surface and horizontal wire at Canadian sites. The results confirm th...

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Main Authors: Chao Sheng, Qian Tang, H. P. Hong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2023-02-01
Series:International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00466-1
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author Chao Sheng
Qian Tang
H. P. Hong
author_facet Chao Sheng
Qian Tang
H. P. Hong
author_sort Chao Sheng
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The ice accretion load in Canadian structural design codes is developed based on an operational ice accretion prediction model. In the present study, three models are employed to predict the ice accretion amount on a flat surface and horizontal wire at Canadian sites. The results confirm that the model used by Canadian practice for predicting ice accretion leads to a conservative estimate as compared to the remaining two models. The results also indicate that the use of the Gumbel distribution for the annual maximum ice accretion is adequate for regions prone to ice accretion and that the lognormal distribution may be considered for regions with a moderate or negligible amount of ice accretion. Maps of the ice accretion hazard at five selected Canadian sites are developed. Statistical analysis of an equivalent wind speed that is concurrent with the iced wire is carried out, showing that the concurrent wind speed for the 50-year return period value of the annual maximum ice accretion amount is smaller than the 50-year return period value of the annual maximum wind speed. It is shown that the statistical characteristics of the annual maximum concurrent wind speed on iced wire differ from that of the annual maximum wind speed.
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spelling doaj.art-d0256358ffae46939d21a0face9f55792023-03-22T10:19:27ZengSpringerOpenInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Science2095-00552192-63952023-02-0114112714210.1007/s13753-023-00466-1Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian SitesChao Sheng0Qian Tang1H. P. Hong2Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Western OntarioDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Western OntarioDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Western OntarioAbstract The ice accretion load in Canadian structural design codes is developed based on an operational ice accretion prediction model. In the present study, three models are employed to predict the ice accretion amount on a flat surface and horizontal wire at Canadian sites. The results confirm that the model used by Canadian practice for predicting ice accretion leads to a conservative estimate as compared to the remaining two models. The results also indicate that the use of the Gumbel distribution for the annual maximum ice accretion is adequate for regions prone to ice accretion and that the lognormal distribution may be considered for regions with a moderate or negligible amount of ice accretion. Maps of the ice accretion hazard at five selected Canadian sites are developed. Statistical analysis of an equivalent wind speed that is concurrent with the iced wire is carried out, showing that the concurrent wind speed for the 50-year return period value of the annual maximum ice accretion amount is smaller than the 50-year return period value of the annual maximum wind speed. It is shown that the statistical characteristics of the annual maximum concurrent wind speed on iced wire differ from that of the annual maximum wind speed.https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00466-1CanadaConcurrent wind speedHazard mappingIce accretionProbabilistic analysis
spellingShingle Chao Sheng
Qian Tang
H. P. Hong
Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science
Canada
Concurrent wind speed
Hazard mapping
Ice accretion
Probabilistic analysis
title Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites
title_full Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites
title_fullStr Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites
title_full_unstemmed Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites
title_short Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites
title_sort estimating and mapping extreme ice accretion hazard and load due to freezing rain at canadian sites
topic Canada
Concurrent wind speed
Hazard mapping
Ice accretion
Probabilistic analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-023-00466-1
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AT hphong estimatingandmappingextremeiceaccretionhazardandloadduetofreezingrainatcanadiansites