Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?

Olive trees, alongside grapevines, dominate the Mediterranean tree crop landscape. However, as climate change intensifies, the Mediterranean region, which encompasses 95% of the global olive cultivation area, faces significant challenges. Rising carbon dioxide (CO2) levels, increasing temperatures,...

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Main Authors: Francisco J. Villalobos, Álvaro López-Bernal, Omar García-Tejera, Luca Testi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Plant Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2023.1249793/full
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author Francisco J. Villalobos
Francisco J. Villalobos
Álvaro López-Bernal
Omar García-Tejera
Luca Testi
author_facet Francisco J. Villalobos
Francisco J. Villalobos
Álvaro López-Bernal
Omar García-Tejera
Luca Testi
author_sort Francisco J. Villalobos
collection DOAJ
description Olive trees, alongside grapevines, dominate the Mediterranean tree crop landscape. However, as climate change intensifies, the Mediterranean region, which encompasses 95% of the global olive cultivation area, faces significant challenges. Rising carbon dioxide (CO2) levels, increasing temperatures, and declining precipitation pose substantial threats to olive tree performance. Photosynthesis, respiration, phenology, water use and ultimately yield are possibly the main factors affected. To address this future scenario, it is crucial to develop adaptation and mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, breeding programs and field management practice testing for tree crops are time-consuming endeavors. Fortunately, models can accelerate the evaluation of tailored solutions. In this review, we critically examine the current state of olive tree modeling and highlight key areas requiring improvement. Given the expected impact of climate change, prioritizing research on phenology, particularly regarding bloom and pollination, is essential. Simulations of biomass should incorporate approaches that account for the interactive effects of CO2 and temperature on photosynthesis and respiration. Furthermore, accurately simulating the influence of water stress on yield necessitates the development of models that integrate canopy behavior with root performance under conditions of water scarcity. By addressing these critical aspects, olive tree models can enhance our understanding of climate change impacts and inform sustainable agricultural practices.
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spelling doaj.art-d03ad4d15d57458bac32d917f3a8f5412023-11-27T06:53:55ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Plant Science1664-462X2023-11-011410.3389/fpls.2023.12497931249793Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?Francisco J. Villalobos0Francisco J. Villalobos1Álvaro López-Bernal2Omar García-Tejera3Luca Testi4Instituto de Agricultura Sostenible, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (IAS-CSIC), Córdoba, SpainDepartamento de Agronomia, ETSIAM, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, SpainDepartamento de Agronomia, ETSIAM, Universidad de Córdoba, Córdoba, SpainDepartamento de Ingenieria Agraria y del Medio Natural, Universidad de La Laguna, San Cristobal de La Laguna, SpainInstituto de Agricultura Sostenible, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (IAS-CSIC), Córdoba, SpainOlive trees, alongside grapevines, dominate the Mediterranean tree crop landscape. However, as climate change intensifies, the Mediterranean region, which encompasses 95% of the global olive cultivation area, faces significant challenges. Rising carbon dioxide (CO2) levels, increasing temperatures, and declining precipitation pose substantial threats to olive tree performance. Photosynthesis, respiration, phenology, water use and ultimately yield are possibly the main factors affected. To address this future scenario, it is crucial to develop adaptation and mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, breeding programs and field management practice testing for tree crops are time-consuming endeavors. Fortunately, models can accelerate the evaluation of tailored solutions. In this review, we critically examine the current state of olive tree modeling and highlight key areas requiring improvement. Given the expected impact of climate change, prioritizing research on phenology, particularly regarding bloom and pollination, is essential. Simulations of biomass should incorporate approaches that account for the interactive effects of CO2 and temperature on photosynthesis and respiration. Furthermore, accurately simulating the influence of water stress on yield necessitates the development of models that integrate canopy behavior with root performance under conditions of water scarcity. By addressing these critical aspects, olive tree models can enhance our understanding of climate change impacts and inform sustainable agricultural practices.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2023.1249793/fullclimate changecrop simulation modelphenological developmentphotosynthesisOlea europaea L.water use
spellingShingle Francisco J. Villalobos
Francisco J. Villalobos
Álvaro López-Bernal
Omar García-Tejera
Luca Testi
Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?
Frontiers in Plant Science
climate change
crop simulation model
phenological development
photosynthesis
Olea europaea L.
water use
title Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?
title_full Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?
title_fullStr Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?
title_full_unstemmed Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?
title_short Is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change?
title_sort is olive crop modelling ready to assess the impacts of global change
topic climate change
crop simulation model
phenological development
photosynthesis
Olea europaea L.
water use
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpls.2023.1249793/full
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