The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China

Ambient carbon monoxide (CO) has been linked with mortality and morbidity. Little evidence is available regarding the relation between CO and years of life lost (YLL). Using data from 48 major cities in China from 2013 to 2017, we applied generalized additive models and random effects meta-analyses...

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Main Authors: Yu Wang, Jie Li, Lijun Wang, Yun Lin, Maigeng Zhou, Peng Yin, Shanglong Yao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-03-01
Series:Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147651320317206
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author Yu Wang
Jie Li
Lijun Wang
Yun Lin
Maigeng Zhou
Peng Yin
Shanglong Yao
author_facet Yu Wang
Jie Li
Lijun Wang
Yun Lin
Maigeng Zhou
Peng Yin
Shanglong Yao
author_sort Yu Wang
collection DOAJ
description Ambient carbon monoxide (CO) has been linked with mortality and morbidity. Little evidence is available regarding the relation between CO and years of life lost (YLL). Using data from 48 major cities in China from 2013 to 2017, we applied generalized additive models and random effects meta-analyses to explore the effects of CO on YLL from various diseases. Stratified analyses and meta-regression were performed to estimate potential effect modifications of demographic factors, regions, meteorological factors, co-pollutants, urbanization rate, economic level and health service level. Additional life gains due to avoidable YLL under certain scenario were also evaluated. Results indicated that a 1-mg/m³ increase of CO concentrations (lagged over 0–3 d), was associated with 2.08% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35%, 2.80%), 2.35% (95% CI: 1.39%, 3.30%), 1.47% (95% CI: -0.01%, 2.93%), 2.28% (95% CI: 1.09%, 3.47%), 2.42% (95% CI: 1.31%, 3.54%), 2.09% (95% CI: 0.47%, 3.72%) increments in daily YLL from non-accidental causes, cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, coronary heart disease, stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, respectively. These associations were robust to the adjustment of co-pollutants and varied substantially by geography and demographic characteristics. Associations were stronger in the elder people (≥65 years), females, population with low education attainment, and lived in south region, than younger people, males, high educated populations and those lived in north region. Moreover, the harmful impact of increasing CO concentration could be attenuated by city-level characteristics, including the growth of urbanization rate, gross domestic product (GDP), GDP per capita, number of hospital beds, doctors and hospitals. Finally, an estimated life of 0.081 (95% CI: -0.027, 0.190) years would be gained per deceased people if CO concentration could fall to 1 mg/m3. In conclusions, this nationwide analysis showed significant associations between short-term CO exposure and cause-specific YLL. The heterogeneity of both individual- and city-level characteristics should be considered for relevant intervention. These findings may have significant public health implications for the reduction of CO-attributed disease burden in China.
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spelling doaj.art-d03dd35be6d740148532bfc9cc774ef02022-12-21T18:29:21ZengElsevierEcotoxicology and Environmental Safety0147-65132021-03-01210111884The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in ChinaYu Wang0Jie Li1Lijun Wang2Yun Lin3Maigeng Zhou4Peng Yin5Shanglong Yao6Department of Anesthesiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, ChinaNational Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, ChinaNational Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, ChinaDepartment of Anesthesiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, ChinaNational Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, ChinaNational Center for Chronic and Noncommunicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China; Corresponding authors.Department of Anesthesiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430022, China; Corresponding authors.Ambient carbon monoxide (CO) has been linked with mortality and morbidity. Little evidence is available regarding the relation between CO and years of life lost (YLL). Using data from 48 major cities in China from 2013 to 2017, we applied generalized additive models and random effects meta-analyses to explore the effects of CO on YLL from various diseases. Stratified analyses and meta-regression were performed to estimate potential effect modifications of demographic factors, regions, meteorological factors, co-pollutants, urbanization rate, economic level and health service level. Additional life gains due to avoidable YLL under certain scenario were also evaluated. Results indicated that a 1-mg/m³ increase of CO concentrations (lagged over 0–3 d), was associated with 2.08% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35%, 2.80%), 2.35% (95% CI: 1.39%, 3.30%), 1.47% (95% CI: -0.01%, 2.93%), 2.28% (95% CI: 1.09%, 3.47%), 2.42% (95% CI: 1.31%, 3.54%), 2.09% (95% CI: 0.47%, 3.72%) increments in daily YLL from non-accidental causes, cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, coronary heart disease, stroke and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, respectively. These associations were robust to the adjustment of co-pollutants and varied substantially by geography and demographic characteristics. Associations were stronger in the elder people (≥65 years), females, population with low education attainment, and lived in south region, than younger people, males, high educated populations and those lived in north region. Moreover, the harmful impact of increasing CO concentration could be attenuated by city-level characteristics, including the growth of urbanization rate, gross domestic product (GDP), GDP per capita, number of hospital beds, doctors and hospitals. Finally, an estimated life of 0.081 (95% CI: -0.027, 0.190) years would be gained per deceased people if CO concentration could fall to 1 mg/m3. In conclusions, this nationwide analysis showed significant associations between short-term CO exposure and cause-specific YLL. The heterogeneity of both individual- and city-level characteristics should be considered for relevant intervention. These findings may have significant public health implications for the reduction of CO-attributed disease burden in China.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147651320317206Carbon monoxideCardiopulmonary diseaseYears of life lostTime-series analysisChina
spellingShingle Yu Wang
Jie Li
Lijun Wang
Yun Lin
Maigeng Zhou
Peng Yin
Shanglong Yao
The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China
Ecotoxicology and Environmental Safety
Carbon monoxide
Cardiopulmonary disease
Years of life lost
Time-series analysis
China
title The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China
title_full The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China
title_fullStr The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China
title_full_unstemmed The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China
title_short The impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual- and city-level characteristics: Evidence from a nationwide time-series study in China
title_sort impact of carbon monoxide on years of life lost and modified effect by individual and city level characteristics evidence from a nationwide time series study in china
topic Carbon monoxide
Cardiopulmonary disease
Years of life lost
Time-series analysis
China
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147651320317206
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