Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting

This study investigates the suitability of the asynchronous ensemble Kalman filter (AEnKF) and a partitioned updating scheme for hydrological forecasting. The AEnKF requires forward integration of the model for the analysis and enables assimilation of current and past observations simultaneously at...

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Main Authors: O. Rakovec, A. H. Weerts, J. Sumihar, R. Uijlenhoet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2015-06-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/2911/2015/hess-19-2911-2015.pdf
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author O. Rakovec
A. H. Weerts
J. Sumihar
R. Uijlenhoet
author_facet O. Rakovec
A. H. Weerts
J. Sumihar
R. Uijlenhoet
author_sort O. Rakovec
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the suitability of the asynchronous ensemble Kalman filter (AEnKF) and a partitioned updating scheme for hydrological forecasting. The AEnKF requires forward integration of the model for the analysis and enables assimilation of current and past observations simultaneously at a single analysis step. The results of discharge assimilation into a grid-based hydrological model (using a soil moisture error model) for the Upper Ourthe catchment in the Belgian Ardennes show that including past predictions and observations in the data assimilation method improves the model forecasts. Additionally, we show that elimination of the strongly non-linear relation between the soil moisture storage and assimilated discharge observations from the model update becomes beneficial for improved operational forecasting, which is evaluated using several validation measures.
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spelling doaj.art-d0574a408a2b4157b93997fdaa0d0d7c2022-12-22T00:50:15ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382015-06-011962911292410.5194/hess-19-2911-2015Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecastingO. Rakovec0A. H. Weerts1J. Sumihar2R. Uijlenhoet3Hydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the NetherlandsHydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the NetherlandsDeltares, P.O. Box 177, 2600 MH Delft, the NetherlandsHydrology and Quantitative Water Management Group, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Wageningen, the NetherlandsThis study investigates the suitability of the asynchronous ensemble Kalman filter (AEnKF) and a partitioned updating scheme for hydrological forecasting. The AEnKF requires forward integration of the model for the analysis and enables assimilation of current and past observations simultaneously at a single analysis step. The results of discharge assimilation into a grid-based hydrological model (using a soil moisture error model) for the Upper Ourthe catchment in the Belgian Ardennes show that including past predictions and observations in the data assimilation method improves the model forecasts. Additionally, we show that elimination of the strongly non-linear relation between the soil moisture storage and assimilated discharge observations from the model update becomes beneficial for improved operational forecasting, which is evaluated using several validation measures.http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/2911/2015/hess-19-2911-2015.pdf
spellingShingle O. Rakovec
A. H. Weerts
J. Sumihar
R. Uijlenhoet
Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
title_full Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
title_fullStr Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
title_short Operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
title_sort operational aspects of asynchronous filtering for flood forecasting
url http://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/19/2911/2015/hess-19-2911-2015.pdf
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AT ruijlenhoet operationalaspectsofasynchronousfilteringforfloodforecasting