Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery

Abstract Background To develop a radiomics model based on pretreatment whole-liver portal venous phase (PVP) contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) images for predicting metachronous liver metastases (MLM) within 24 months after rectal cancer (RC) surgery. Methods This study retrospectively analyzed 112 RC pa...

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Main Authors: Meng Liang, Xiaohong Ma, Leyao Wang, Dengfeng Li, Sicong Wang, Hongmei Zhang, Xinming Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-09-01
Series:Cancer Imaging
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-022-00485-z
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author Meng Liang
Xiaohong Ma
Leyao Wang
Dengfeng Li
Sicong Wang
Hongmei Zhang
Xinming Zhao
author_facet Meng Liang
Xiaohong Ma
Leyao Wang
Dengfeng Li
Sicong Wang
Hongmei Zhang
Xinming Zhao
author_sort Meng Liang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background To develop a radiomics model based on pretreatment whole-liver portal venous phase (PVP) contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) images for predicting metachronous liver metastases (MLM) within 24 months after rectal cancer (RC) surgery. Methods This study retrospectively analyzed 112 RC patients without preoperative liver metastases who underwent rectal surgery between January 2015 and December 2017 at our institution. Volume of interest (VOI) segmentation of the whole-liver was performed on the PVP CE-CT images. All 1316 radiomics features were extracted automatically. The maximum-relevance and minimum-redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods were used for features selection and radiomics signature constructing. Three models based on radiomics features (radiomics model), clinical features (clinical model), and radiomics combined with clinical features (combined model) were built by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the diagnostic performance of models, and calibration curve and the decision curve analysis were performed to evaluate the clinical application value. Results In total, 52 patients in the MLM group and 60 patients in the non-MLM group were enrolled in this study. The radscore was built using 16 selected features and the corresponding coefficients. Both the radiomics model and the combined model showed higher diagnostic performance than clinical model (AUCs of training set: radiomics model 0.84 (95% CI, 0.76–0.93), clinical model 0.65 (95% CI, 0.55–0.75), combined model 0.85 (95% CI, 0.77–0.94); AUCs of validation set: radiomics model 0.84 (95% CI, 0.70–0.98), clinical model 0.58 (95% CI, 0.40–0.76), combined model 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71–0.99)). The calibration curves showed great consistency between the predicted value and actual event probability. The DCA showed that both the radiomics and combined models could add a net benefit on a large scale. Conclusions The radiomics model based on preoperative whole-liver PVP CE-CT could predict MLM within 24 months after RC surgery. Clinical features could not significantly improve the prediction efficiency of the radiomics model.
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spelling doaj.art-d07bd5bece074161bf0b3c6303ea0bdc2022-12-22T04:02:57ZengBMCCancer Imaging1470-73302022-09-0122111210.1186/s40644-022-00485-zWhole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgeryMeng Liang0Xiaohong Ma1Leyao Wang2Dengfeng Li3Sicong Wang4Hongmei Zhang5Xinming Zhao6Department of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeGE Healthcare (China)Department of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical CollegeAbstract Background To develop a radiomics model based on pretreatment whole-liver portal venous phase (PVP) contrast-enhanced CT (CE-CT) images for predicting metachronous liver metastases (MLM) within 24 months after rectal cancer (RC) surgery. Methods This study retrospectively analyzed 112 RC patients without preoperative liver metastases who underwent rectal surgery between January 2015 and December 2017 at our institution. Volume of interest (VOI) segmentation of the whole-liver was performed on the PVP CE-CT images. All 1316 radiomics features were extracted automatically. The maximum-relevance and minimum-redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods were used for features selection and radiomics signature constructing. Three models based on radiomics features (radiomics model), clinical features (clinical model), and radiomics combined with clinical features (combined model) were built by multivariable logistic regression analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the diagnostic performance of models, and calibration curve and the decision curve analysis were performed to evaluate the clinical application value. Results In total, 52 patients in the MLM group and 60 patients in the non-MLM group were enrolled in this study. The radscore was built using 16 selected features and the corresponding coefficients. Both the radiomics model and the combined model showed higher diagnostic performance than clinical model (AUCs of training set: radiomics model 0.84 (95% CI, 0.76–0.93), clinical model 0.65 (95% CI, 0.55–0.75), combined model 0.85 (95% CI, 0.77–0.94); AUCs of validation set: radiomics model 0.84 (95% CI, 0.70–0.98), clinical model 0.58 (95% CI, 0.40–0.76), combined model 0.85 (95% CI, 0.71–0.99)). The calibration curves showed great consistency between the predicted value and actual event probability. The DCA showed that both the radiomics and combined models could add a net benefit on a large scale. Conclusions The radiomics model based on preoperative whole-liver PVP CE-CT could predict MLM within 24 months after RC surgery. Clinical features could not significantly improve the prediction efficiency of the radiomics model.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-022-00485-zRectal cancerRadiomicsLiver metastasesComputed tomography
spellingShingle Meng Liang
Xiaohong Ma
Leyao Wang
Dengfeng Li
Sicong Wang
Hongmei Zhang
Xinming Zhao
Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
Cancer Imaging
Rectal cancer
Radiomics
Liver metastases
Computed tomography
title Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
title_full Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
title_fullStr Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
title_full_unstemmed Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
title_short Whole-liver enhanced CT radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
title_sort whole liver enhanced ct radiomics analysis to predict metachronous liver metastases after rectal cancer surgery
topic Rectal cancer
Radiomics
Liver metastases
Computed tomography
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40644-022-00485-z
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