Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy

Does the state of the domestic economy change the size of the effect of audience costs? As public opinion research has shown, citizens assess the performance of their leaders based not only on foreign policy, but also on the domestic economy. Thus, if leaders are subject to audience costs, they shou...

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Main Author: Akisato Suzuki
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2018-07-01
Series:Research & Politics
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168018787119
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author Akisato Suzuki
author_facet Akisato Suzuki
author_sort Akisato Suzuki
collection DOAJ
description Does the state of the domestic economy change the size of the effect of audience costs? As public opinion research has shown, citizens assess the performance of their leaders based not only on foreign policy, but also on the domestic economy. Thus, if leaders are subject to audience costs, they should be even less able to afford failure in an international crisis when the economy is performing badly than when the economy is doing well. As a result, such leaders should be even more able to make their threats credible and, therefore, are more likely to be successful in coercive diplomacy. This novel prediction finds no empirical support in a replication study using Moon and Souva (2016). I discuss possible reasons for this result and avenues for further research.
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spelling doaj.art-d0a937e17a9c428e9db45e8d674a41322022-12-22T03:39:59ZengSAGE PublishingResearch & Politics2053-16802018-07-01510.1177/2053168018787119Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacyAkisato SuzukiDoes the state of the domestic economy change the size of the effect of audience costs? As public opinion research has shown, citizens assess the performance of their leaders based not only on foreign policy, but also on the domestic economy. Thus, if leaders are subject to audience costs, they should be even less able to afford failure in an international crisis when the economy is performing badly than when the economy is doing well. As a result, such leaders should be even more able to make their threats credible and, therefore, are more likely to be successful in coercive diplomacy. This novel prediction finds no empirical support in a replication study using Moon and Souva (2016). I discuss possible reasons for this result and avenues for further research.https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168018787119
spellingShingle Akisato Suzuki
Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
Research & Politics
title Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
title_full Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
title_fullStr Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
title_full_unstemmed Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
title_short Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
title_sort audience costs domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
url https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168018787119
work_keys_str_mv AT akisatosuzuki audiencecostsdomesticeconomyandcoercivediplomacy