Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy
Does the state of the domestic economy change the size of the effect of audience costs? As public opinion research has shown, citizens assess the performance of their leaders based not only on foreign policy, but also on the domestic economy. Thus, if leaders are subject to audience costs, they shou...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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SAGE Publishing
2018-07-01
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Series: | Research & Politics |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168018787119 |
_version_ | 1811223670503243776 |
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author | Akisato Suzuki |
author_facet | Akisato Suzuki |
author_sort | Akisato Suzuki |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Does the state of the domestic economy change the size of the effect of audience costs? As public opinion research has shown, citizens assess the performance of their leaders based not only on foreign policy, but also on the domestic economy. Thus, if leaders are subject to audience costs, they should be even less able to afford failure in an international crisis when the economy is performing badly than when the economy is doing well. As a result, such leaders should be even more able to make their threats credible and, therefore, are more likely to be successful in coercive diplomacy. This novel prediction finds no empirical support in a replication study using Moon and Souva (2016). I discuss possible reasons for this result and avenues for further research. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-12T08:36:39Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-d0a937e17a9c428e9db45e8d674a4132 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 2053-1680 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-12T08:36:39Z |
publishDate | 2018-07-01 |
publisher | SAGE Publishing |
record_format | Article |
series | Research & Politics |
spelling | doaj.art-d0a937e17a9c428e9db45e8d674a41322022-12-22T03:39:59ZengSAGE PublishingResearch & Politics2053-16802018-07-01510.1177/2053168018787119Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacyAkisato SuzukiDoes the state of the domestic economy change the size of the effect of audience costs? As public opinion research has shown, citizens assess the performance of their leaders based not only on foreign policy, but also on the domestic economy. Thus, if leaders are subject to audience costs, they should be even less able to afford failure in an international crisis when the economy is performing badly than when the economy is doing well. As a result, such leaders should be even more able to make their threats credible and, therefore, are more likely to be successful in coercive diplomacy. This novel prediction finds no empirical support in a replication study using Moon and Souva (2016). I discuss possible reasons for this result and avenues for further research.https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168018787119 |
spellingShingle | Akisato Suzuki Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy Research & Politics |
title | Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy |
title_full | Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy |
title_fullStr | Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy |
title_full_unstemmed | Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy |
title_short | Audience costs, domestic economy and coercive diplomacy |
title_sort | audience costs domestic economy and coercive diplomacy |
url | https://doi.org/10.1177/2053168018787119 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT akisatosuzuki audiencecostsdomesticeconomyandcoercivediplomacy |