Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events

Surges in sympathetic activity should be a major contributor to the frequent occurrence of cardiovascular events towards the end of nocturnal sleep. We aimed to investigate whether the analysis of hypnopompic heart rate variability (HRV) could assist in the prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD)...

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Main Authors: Xueya Yan, Lulu Zhang, Jinlian Li, Ding Du, Fengzhen Hou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-02-01
Series:Entropy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/2/241
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author Xueya Yan
Lulu Zhang
Jinlian Li
Ding Du
Fengzhen Hou
author_facet Xueya Yan
Lulu Zhang
Jinlian Li
Ding Du
Fengzhen Hou
author_sort Xueya Yan
collection DOAJ
description Surges in sympathetic activity should be a major contributor to the frequent occurrence of cardiovascular events towards the end of nocturnal sleep. We aimed to investigate whether the analysis of hypnopompic heart rate variability (HRV) could assist in the prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD). 2217 baseline CVD-free subjects were identified and divided into CVD group and non-CVD group, according to the presence of CVD during a follow-up visit. HRV measures derived from time domain analysis, frequency domain analysis and nonlinear analysis were employed to characterize cardiac functioning. Machine learning models for both long-term and short-term CVD prediction were then constructed, based on hypnopompic HRV metrics and other typical CVD risk factors. CVD was associated with significant alterations in hypnopompic HRV. An accuracy of 81.4% was achieved in short-term prediction of CVD, demonstrating a 10.7% increase compared with long-term prediction. There was a decline of more than 6% in the predictive performance of short-term CVD outcomes without HRV metrics. The complexity of hypnopompic HRV, measured by entropy-based indices, contributed considerably to the prediction and achieved greater importance in the proposed models than conventional HRV measures. Our findings suggest that Hypnopompic HRV assists the prediction of CVD outcomes, especially the occurrence of CVD event within two years.
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spelling doaj.art-d100aa7dde0246639d7dbba39de1dc7d2022-12-22T03:45:46ZengMDPI AGEntropy1099-43002020-02-0122224110.3390/e22020241e22020241Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular EventsXueya Yan0Lulu Zhang1Jinlian Li2Ding Du3Fengzhen Hou4School of Science, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, ChinaSchool of Science, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, ChinaSchool of environment science, Nanjing Xiaozhuang University, Nanjing 211171, ChinaSchool of Science, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, ChinaSchool of Science, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing 210009, ChinaSurges in sympathetic activity should be a major contributor to the frequent occurrence of cardiovascular events towards the end of nocturnal sleep. We aimed to investigate whether the analysis of hypnopompic heart rate variability (HRV) could assist in the prediction of cardiovascular disease (CVD). 2217 baseline CVD-free subjects were identified and divided into CVD group and non-CVD group, according to the presence of CVD during a follow-up visit. HRV measures derived from time domain analysis, frequency domain analysis and nonlinear analysis were employed to characterize cardiac functioning. Machine learning models for both long-term and short-term CVD prediction were then constructed, based on hypnopompic HRV metrics and other typical CVD risk factors. CVD was associated with significant alterations in hypnopompic HRV. An accuracy of 81.4% was achieved in short-term prediction of CVD, demonstrating a 10.7% increase compared with long-term prediction. There was a decline of more than 6% in the predictive performance of short-term CVD outcomes without HRV metrics. The complexity of hypnopompic HRV, measured by entropy-based indices, contributed considerably to the prediction and achieved greater importance in the proposed models than conventional HRV measures. Our findings suggest that Hypnopompic HRV assists the prediction of CVD outcomes, especially the occurrence of CVD event within two years.https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/2/241heart rate variabilitycardiovascular diseasesleepmachine learningxgboost
spellingShingle Xueya Yan
Lulu Zhang
Jinlian Li
Ding Du
Fengzhen Hou
Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events
Entropy
heart rate variability
cardiovascular disease
sleep
machine learning
xgboost
title Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events
title_full Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events
title_fullStr Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events
title_full_unstemmed Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events
title_short Entropy-Based Measures of Hypnopompic Heart Rate Variability Contribute to the Automatic Prediction of Cardiovascular Events
title_sort entropy based measures of hypnopompic heart rate variability contribute to the automatic prediction of cardiovascular events
topic heart rate variability
cardiovascular disease
sleep
machine learning
xgboost
url https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/2/241
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AT luluzhang entropybasedmeasuresofhypnopompicheartratevariabilitycontributetotheautomaticpredictionofcardiovascularevents
AT jinlianli entropybasedmeasuresofhypnopompicheartratevariabilitycontributetotheautomaticpredictionofcardiovascularevents
AT dingdu entropybasedmeasuresofhypnopompicheartratevariabilitycontributetotheautomaticpredictionofcardiovascularevents
AT fengzhenhou entropybasedmeasuresofhypnopompicheartratevariabilitycontributetotheautomaticpredictionofcardiovascularevents