Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning

BackgroundMetabolic syndrome (Mets) is considered a global epidemic of the 21st century, predisposing to cardiometabolic diseases. This study aims to describe and compare the body composition profiles between metabolic healthy (MH) and metabolic unhealthy (MU) phenotype in normal and obesity populat...

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Main Authors: Xiujuan Deng, Lin Qiu, Xin Sun, Hui Li, Zejiao Chen, Min Huang, Fangxing Hu, Zhenyi Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2023.1228300/full
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author Xiujuan Deng
Lin Qiu
Xin Sun
Hui Li
Zejiao Chen
Min Huang
Fangxing Hu
Zhenyi Zhang
author_facet Xiujuan Deng
Lin Qiu
Xin Sun
Hui Li
Zejiao Chen
Min Huang
Fangxing Hu
Zhenyi Zhang
author_sort Xiujuan Deng
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundMetabolic syndrome (Mets) is considered a global epidemic of the 21st century, predisposing to cardiometabolic diseases. This study aims to describe and compare the body composition profiles between metabolic healthy (MH) and metabolic unhealthy (MU) phenotype in normal and obesity population in China, and to explore the predictive ability of body composition indices to distinguish MU by generating machine learning algorithms.MethodsA cross-sectional study was conducted and the subjects who came to the hospital to receive a health examination were enrolled. Body composition was assessed using bioelectrical impedance analyser. A model generator with a gradient-boosting tree algorithm (LightGBM) combined with the SHapley Additive exPlanations method was adapted to train and interpret the model. Receiver-operating characteristic curves were used to analyze the predictive value.ResultsWe found the significant difference in body composition parameters between the metabolic healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolic healthy obesity (MHO), metabolic unhealthy normal weight (MUNW) and metabolic unhealthy obesity (MUO) individuals, especially among the MHNW, MUNW and MUO phenotype. MHNW phenotype had significantly lower whole fat mass (FM), trunk FM and trunk free fat mass (FFM), and had significantly lower visceral fat areas compared to MUNW and MUO phenotype, respectively. The bioimpedance phase angle, waist-hip ratio (WHR) and free fat mass index (FFMI) were found to be remarkably lower in MHNW than in MUNW and MUO groups, and lower in MHO than in MUO group. For predictive analysis, the LightGBM-based model identified 32 status-predicting features for MUNW with MHNW group as the reference, MUO with MHO as the reference and MUO with MHNW as the reference, achieved high discriminative power, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.842 [0.658, 1.000] for MUNW vs. MHNW, 0.746 [0.599, 0.893] for MUO vs. MHO and 0.968 [0.968, 1.000] for MUO and MHNW, respectively. A 2-variable model was developed for more practical clinical applications. WHR > 0.92 and FFMI > 18.5 kg/m2 predict the increased risk of MU.ConclusionBody composition measurement and validation of this model could be a valuable approach for the early management and prevention of MU, whether in obese or normal population.
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spelling doaj.art-d11033248ee343849c4efe932deb08f22023-08-30T09:50:30ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922023-08-011410.3389/fendo.2023.12283001228300Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learningXiujuan DengLin QiuXin SunHui LiZejiao ChenMin HuangFangxing HuZhenyi ZhangBackgroundMetabolic syndrome (Mets) is considered a global epidemic of the 21st century, predisposing to cardiometabolic diseases. This study aims to describe and compare the body composition profiles between metabolic healthy (MH) and metabolic unhealthy (MU) phenotype in normal and obesity population in China, and to explore the predictive ability of body composition indices to distinguish MU by generating machine learning algorithms.MethodsA cross-sectional study was conducted and the subjects who came to the hospital to receive a health examination were enrolled. Body composition was assessed using bioelectrical impedance analyser. A model generator with a gradient-boosting tree algorithm (LightGBM) combined with the SHapley Additive exPlanations method was adapted to train and interpret the model. Receiver-operating characteristic curves were used to analyze the predictive value.ResultsWe found the significant difference in body composition parameters between the metabolic healthy normal weight (MHNW), metabolic healthy obesity (MHO), metabolic unhealthy normal weight (MUNW) and metabolic unhealthy obesity (MUO) individuals, especially among the MHNW, MUNW and MUO phenotype. MHNW phenotype had significantly lower whole fat mass (FM), trunk FM and trunk free fat mass (FFM), and had significantly lower visceral fat areas compared to MUNW and MUO phenotype, respectively. The bioimpedance phase angle, waist-hip ratio (WHR) and free fat mass index (FFMI) were found to be remarkably lower in MHNW than in MUNW and MUO groups, and lower in MHO than in MUO group. For predictive analysis, the LightGBM-based model identified 32 status-predicting features for MUNW with MHNW group as the reference, MUO with MHO as the reference and MUO with MHNW as the reference, achieved high discriminative power, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.842 [0.658, 1.000] for MUNW vs. MHNW, 0.746 [0.599, 0.893] for MUO vs. MHO and 0.968 [0.968, 1.000] for MUO and MHNW, respectively. A 2-variable model was developed for more practical clinical applications. WHR > 0.92 and FFMI > 18.5 kg/m2 predict the increased risk of MU.ConclusionBody composition measurement and validation of this model could be a valuable approach for the early management and prevention of MU, whether in obese or normal population.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2023.1228300/fullmetabolic syndromemetabolic unhealthybody compositionmachine learningSHapley additive exPlanations
spellingShingle Xiujuan Deng
Lin Qiu
Xin Sun
Hui Li
Zejiao Chen
Min Huang
Fangxing Hu
Zhenyi Zhang
Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning
Frontiers in Endocrinology
metabolic syndrome
metabolic unhealthy
body composition
machine learning
SHapley additive exPlanations
title Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning
title_full Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning
title_fullStr Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning
title_short Early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the Chinese population via advanced machine learning
title_sort early prediction of body composition parameters on metabolically unhealthy in the chinese population via advanced machine learning
topic metabolic syndrome
metabolic unhealthy
body composition
machine learning
SHapley additive exPlanations
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2023.1228300/full
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