Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing

This study explores the methods to de-trend the smooth structural break processes while conducting the unit root tests. The two most commonly applied approaches for modelling smooth structural breaks namely the smooth transition and the Fourier functions are considered. We perform a sequence of powe...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Furkan Emirmahmutoglu, Tolga Omay, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, Safwan Mohd Nor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-02-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/4/371
_version_ 1797396744217034752
author Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
Tolga Omay
Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad
Safwan Mohd Nor
author_facet Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
Tolga Omay
Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad
Safwan Mohd Nor
author_sort Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
collection DOAJ
description This study explores the methods to de-trend the smooth structural break processes while conducting the unit root tests. The two most commonly applied approaches for modelling smooth structural breaks namely the smooth transition and the Fourier functions are considered. We perform a sequence of power comparisons among alternative unit root tests that accommodate smooth or sharp structural breaks. The power experiments demonstrate that the unit root tests utilizing the Fourier function lead to unexpected results. Furthermore, through simulation studies, we investigate the source of such unexpected outcomes. Moreover, we provide the asymptotic distribution of two recently proposed unit root tests, namely Fourier-Augmented Dickey–Fuller (FADF) and Fourier-Kapetanios, Shin and Shell (FKSS), which are not given in the original studies. Lastly, we find that the selection of de-trending function is pivotal for unit root testing with structural breaks.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T00:56:02Z
format Article
id doaj.art-d12ffe892129419e94c6f8931492a205
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2227-7390
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T00:56:02Z
publishDate 2021-02-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Mathematics
spelling doaj.art-d12ffe892129419e94c6f8931492a2052023-12-11T16:56:52ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902021-02-019437110.3390/math9040371Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root TestingFurkan Emirmahmutoglu0Tolga Omay1Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad2Safwan Mohd Nor3Department of Econometrics, Ankara Haci Bayram Veli University, 06500 Ankara, TurkeyDepartment of Economics, Atilim University, 06830 Ankara, TurkeyMontpellier Business School, University of Montpellier, Montpellier Research in Management, 34080 Montpellier, FranceFaculty of Business, Economics and Social Development, University of Malaysia Terengganu, 21030 Kuala Nerus, Terengganu, MalaysiaThis study explores the methods to de-trend the smooth structural break processes while conducting the unit root tests. The two most commonly applied approaches for modelling smooth structural breaks namely the smooth transition and the Fourier functions are considered. We perform a sequence of power comparisons among alternative unit root tests that accommodate smooth or sharp structural breaks. The power experiments demonstrate that the unit root tests utilizing the Fourier function lead to unexpected results. Furthermore, through simulation studies, we investigate the source of such unexpected outcomes. Moreover, we provide the asymptotic distribution of two recently proposed unit root tests, namely Fourier-Augmented Dickey–Fuller (FADF) and Fourier-Kapetanios, Shin and Shell (FKSS), which are not given in the original studies. Lastly, we find that the selection of de-trending function is pivotal for unit root testing with structural breaks.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/4/371structural breaknonlinear unit root testsflexible Fourier formsmooth transition regression
spellingShingle Furkan Emirmahmutoglu
Tolga Omay
Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad
Safwan Mohd Nor
Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing
Mathematics
structural break
nonlinear unit root tests
flexible Fourier form
smooth transition regression
title Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing
title_full Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing
title_fullStr Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing
title_full_unstemmed Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing
title_short Smooth Break Detection and De-Trending in Unit Root Testing
title_sort smooth break detection and de trending in unit root testing
topic structural break
nonlinear unit root tests
flexible Fourier form
smooth transition regression
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/9/4/371
work_keys_str_mv AT furkanemirmahmutoglu smoothbreakdetectionanddetrendinginunitroottesting
AT tolgaomay smoothbreakdetectionanddetrendinginunitroottesting
AT syedjawadhussainshahzad smoothbreakdetectionanddetrendinginunitroottesting
AT safwanmohdnor smoothbreakdetectionanddetrendinginunitroottesting