The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models

The ESTE system is running in nuclear crisis centers at various levels of emergency preparedness and response in Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Austria, Bulgaria, and Iran (at the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant, monitored by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)). ESTE is a decision-support syst...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ľudovít Lipták, Eva Fojcíková, Monika Krpelanová, Viera Fabová, Peter Čarný
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-02-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/2/204
_version_ 1797415648927678464
author Ľudovít Lipták
Eva Fojcíková
Monika Krpelanová
Viera Fabová
Peter Čarný
author_facet Ľudovít Lipták
Eva Fojcíková
Monika Krpelanová
Viera Fabová
Peter Čarný
author_sort Ľudovít Lipták
collection DOAJ
description The ESTE system is running in nuclear crisis centers at various levels of emergency preparedness and response in Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Austria, Bulgaria, and Iran (at the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant, monitored by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)). ESTE is a decision-support system that runs 24/7 and serves the crisis staff to propose actions to protect inhabitants against radiation in case of a nuclear accident. ESTE is also applicable as a decision-support system in case of a malicious act with a radioactive dispersal device in an urban or industrial environment. The dispersion models implemented in ESTE are the Lagrangian particle model (LPM) and the Puff trajectory model (PTM). We describe model approaches as implemented in ESTE. The PTM is applied in ESTE for the dispersion calculation near the point of release, up to 100 km from the point of a nuclear accident. The LPM for general atmospheric transport is applied for short-range, meso-scale and large-scale dispersion, up to dispersion on the global scale. Additionally, a specific micro-scale implementation of the LPM is applied for urban scale dispersion modeling. The dispersion models of ESTE are joined with radiological-consequences models to calculate a complete spectrum of radiological parameters—effective doses, committed doses, and dose rates by various irradiation pathways and by various radionuclides. Finally, radiation protective measures, like sheltering, iodine prophylaxis, or evacuation, evaluated on the base of predicted radiological impacts, are proposed. The dispersion and radiological models of the state-of-the-art ESTE systems are described. The results of specific analyses, like the number of particles applied, the initial spatial distribution of the source, and the height of the bottom reference layer, are presented and discussed.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T05:51:39Z
format Article
id doaj.art-d167648ab46f467799b5b8f43ffd1128
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2073-4433
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T05:51:39Z
publishDate 2021-02-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Atmosphere
spelling doaj.art-d167648ab46f467799b5b8f43ffd11282023-12-03T12:17:08ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-02-0112220410.3390/atmos12020204The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion ModelsĽudovít Lipták0Eva Fojcíková1Monika Krpelanová2Viera Fabová3Peter Čarný4ABmerit, s.r.o., Hornopotočná 1, P.O. Box 200, 917 01 Trnava, SlovakiaABmerit, s.r.o., Hornopotočná 1, P.O. Box 200, 917 01 Trnava, SlovakiaABmerit, s.r.o., Hornopotočná 1, P.O. Box 200, 917 01 Trnava, SlovakiaABmerit, s.r.o., Hornopotočná 1, P.O. Box 200, 917 01 Trnava, SlovakiaABmerit, s.r.o., Hornopotočná 1, P.O. Box 200, 917 01 Trnava, SlovakiaThe ESTE system is running in nuclear crisis centers at various levels of emergency preparedness and response in Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Austria, Bulgaria, and Iran (at the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant, monitored by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)). ESTE is a decision-support system that runs 24/7 and serves the crisis staff to propose actions to protect inhabitants against radiation in case of a nuclear accident. ESTE is also applicable as a decision-support system in case of a malicious act with a radioactive dispersal device in an urban or industrial environment. The dispersion models implemented in ESTE are the Lagrangian particle model (LPM) and the Puff trajectory model (PTM). We describe model approaches as implemented in ESTE. The PTM is applied in ESTE for the dispersion calculation near the point of release, up to 100 km from the point of a nuclear accident. The LPM for general atmospheric transport is applied for short-range, meso-scale and large-scale dispersion, up to dispersion on the global scale. Additionally, a specific micro-scale implementation of the LPM is applied for urban scale dispersion modeling. The dispersion models of ESTE are joined with radiological-consequences models to calculate a complete spectrum of radiological parameters—effective doses, committed doses, and dose rates by various irradiation pathways and by various radionuclides. Finally, radiation protective measures, like sheltering, iodine prophylaxis, or evacuation, evaluated on the base of predicted radiological impacts, are proposed. The dispersion and radiological models of the state-of-the-art ESTE systems are described. The results of specific analyses, like the number of particles applied, the initial spatial distribution of the source, and the height of the bottom reference layer, are presented and discussed.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/2/204nuclear accidentsdecision supportprotective measuresLPMPTMCBRN
spellingShingle Ľudovít Lipták
Eva Fojcíková
Monika Krpelanová
Viera Fabová
Peter Čarný
The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models
Atmosphere
nuclear accidents
decision support
protective measures
LPM
PTM
CBRN
title The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models
title_full The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models
title_fullStr The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models
title_full_unstemmed The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models
title_short The ESTE Decision Support System for Nuclear and Radiological Emergencies: Atmospheric Dispersion Models
title_sort este decision support system for nuclear and radiological emergencies atmospheric dispersion models
topic nuclear accidents
decision support
protective measures
LPM
PTM
CBRN
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/2/204
work_keys_str_mv AT ludovitliptak theestedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT evafojcikova theestedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT monikakrpelanova theestedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT vierafabova theestedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT petercarny theestedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT ludovitliptak estedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT evafojcikova estedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT monikakrpelanova estedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT vierafabova estedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels
AT petercarny estedecisionsupportsystemfornuclearandradiologicalemergenciesatmosphericdispersionmodels