Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis
This study employs the <i>Driving Force–Pressure–State–Response</i> (<i>DPSR</i>) framework to establish an evaluation index system for the water resource carrying capacity (<i>WRCC</i>) in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China). Utilizing the TOPSIS and obstacle degree mo...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2023-10-01
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| Series: | Water |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/20/3652 |
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| author | Guangwei Jia Sheng Li Feilong Jie Yanyan Ge Na Liu Fuli Liang |
| author_facet | Guangwei Jia Sheng Li Feilong Jie Yanyan Ge Na Liu Fuli Liang |
| author_sort | Guangwei Jia |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study employs the <i>Driving Force–Pressure–State–Response</i> (<i>DPSR</i>) framework to establish an evaluation index system for the water resource carrying capacity (<i>WRCC</i>) in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China). Utilizing the TOPSIS and obstacle degree models, we analyze the trends in the WRCC and its main hindrance factors in the Cele–Yutian Oasis from 2005 to 2020. Additionally, we employ the Markov model to investigate the dynamic changes in the land use types. The findings reveal that the most unfavorable WRCC status occurred in 2007, with a Grade IV rating (a mild overload). By 2020, the WRCC improved to a Grade III rating (critical), indicating a positive trajectory. However, persistent challenges for water resources remain, with a prolonged critical state. Over the past 15 years, the grassland area has decreased by 15.18%, and the forest area has decreased by 50%. The dynamic degree of grassland, forests, and water bodies is negative, signifying shifts to other land types, with water bodies undergoing the most significant change at −10.16%. Based on the outcomes of these two models, we propose regionally tailored measures to support sustainable development. These research results provide a scientific foundation for optimal water resource allocation and sustainable development in the Cele–Yutian Oasis Economic Belt. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T20:49:13Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-d17d29c46a854fdcba4e1b0f7d178e14 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4441 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T20:49:13Z |
| publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Water |
| spelling | doaj.art-d17d29c46a854fdcba4e1b0f7d178e142023-11-19T18:30:52ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-10-011520365210.3390/w15203652Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model AnalysisGuangwei Jia0Sheng Li1Feilong Jie2Yanyan Ge3Na Liu4Fuli Liang5School of Geology and Mining Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, ChinaSchool of Geology and Mining Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, ChinaSchool of Geology and Mining Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, ChinaSchool of Geology and Mining Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, ChinaSchool of Geology and Mining Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, ChinaSchool of Geology and Mining Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, ChinaThis study employs the <i>Driving Force–Pressure–State–Response</i> (<i>DPSR</i>) framework to establish an evaluation index system for the water resource carrying capacity (<i>WRCC</i>) in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China). Utilizing the TOPSIS and obstacle degree models, we analyze the trends in the WRCC and its main hindrance factors in the Cele–Yutian Oasis from 2005 to 2020. Additionally, we employ the Markov model to investigate the dynamic changes in the land use types. The findings reveal that the most unfavorable WRCC status occurred in 2007, with a Grade IV rating (a mild overload). By 2020, the WRCC improved to a Grade III rating (critical), indicating a positive trajectory. However, persistent challenges for water resources remain, with a prolonged critical state. Over the past 15 years, the grassland area has decreased by 15.18%, and the forest area has decreased by 50%. The dynamic degree of grassland, forests, and water bodies is negative, signifying shifts to other land types, with water bodies undergoing the most significant change at −10.16%. Based on the outcomes of these two models, we propose regionally tailored measures to support sustainable development. These research results provide a scientific foundation for optimal water resource allocation and sustainable development in the Cele–Yutian Oasis Economic Belt.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/20/3652water resource carrying capacityTOPSIS modelbarrier degreeMarkov modelCelle–Yutian Oasis |
| spellingShingle | Guangwei Jia Sheng Li Feilong Jie Yanyan Ge Na Liu Fuli Liang Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis Water water resource carrying capacity TOPSIS model barrier degree Markov model Celle–Yutian Oasis |
| title | Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis |
| title_full | Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis |
| title_fullStr | Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis |
| title_short | Assessing Water Resource Carrying Capacity and Sustainability in the Cele–Yutian Oasis (China): A TOPSIS–Markov Model Analysis |
| title_sort | assessing water resource carrying capacity and sustainability in the cele yutian oasis china a topsis markov model analysis |
| topic | water resource carrying capacity TOPSIS model barrier degree Markov model Celle–Yutian Oasis |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/20/3652 |
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