Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises

<b>Background</b>: Lifespan variation has been attracting attention as a measure of population health and mortality. Several studies have highlighted its strong inverse relationship with life expectancy during periods of steady mortality decline, but this association weakens, and even re...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Serena Vigezzi, Jose Manuel Aburto, Iñaki Permanyer, Virginia Zarulli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2022-03-01
Series:Demographic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/46/11
_version_ 1797739434478665728
author Serena Vigezzi
Jose Manuel Aburto
Iñaki Permanyer
Virginia Zarulli
author_facet Serena Vigezzi
Jose Manuel Aburto
Iñaki Permanyer
Virginia Zarulli
author_sort Serena Vigezzi
collection DOAJ
description <b>Background</b>: Lifespan variation has been attracting attention as a measure of population health and mortality. Several studies have highlighted its strong inverse relationship with life expectancy during periods of steady mortality decline, but this association weakens, and even reverses, when mortality does not improve equally over age. To date no study has comprehensively explored the behaviour of lifespan variation when mortality increases significantly. <b>Objective</b>: We investigate lifespan variation trends around various mortality crises, focusing on age-specific contributions and sex differences. <b>Methods</b>: Drawing data from the Human Mortality Database and Meslé and Vallin's Ukrainian lifetables, we analyse five European epidemics and famines across three centuries. We use six measures of lifespan variation and adopt the linear integral method of decomposition. <b>Results</b>: During these crises, relative lifespan variation increases, while absolute variation declines, and subsequently both quickly revert to pre-crisis levels. We show that mortality at older ages leads to a temporary increase in absolute - but not relative - variation. The lifespan variation of females is less affected than that of males, because of differences in the impact of infant and child mortality. <b>Conclusions</b>: Even when infant mortality is high, mortality at older ages can influence lifespan variation. Our results also underscore the sex differences in the vulnerability of young individuals in periods of extreme mortality. <b>Contribution</b>: By underlining different trends of lifespan variation by sex and indicator, we offer new insight into the consequences of mortality crises. Contrary to what is often asserted, we show that the choice of lifespan variation indicator is not always inconsequential.
first_indexed 2024-03-12T13:58:10Z
format Article
id doaj.art-d18752a5c8d1420ca24a4a6b9cb8e2ad
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1435-9871
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-12T13:58:10Z
publishDate 2022-03-01
publisher Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
record_format Article
series Demographic Research
spelling doaj.art-d18752a5c8d1420ca24a4a6b9cb8e2ad2023-08-22T11:19:16ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712022-03-01461110.4054/DemRes.2022.46.115452Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crisesSerena Vigezzi0Jose Manuel Aburto1Iñaki Permanyer2Virginia Zarulli3Syddansk UniversitetLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical MedicineCentre d'Estudis Demogràfics (CED)Syddansk Universitet<b>Background</b>: Lifespan variation has been attracting attention as a measure of population health and mortality. Several studies have highlighted its strong inverse relationship with life expectancy during periods of steady mortality decline, but this association weakens, and even reverses, when mortality does not improve equally over age. To date no study has comprehensively explored the behaviour of lifespan variation when mortality increases significantly. <b>Objective</b>: We investigate lifespan variation trends around various mortality crises, focusing on age-specific contributions and sex differences. <b>Methods</b>: Drawing data from the Human Mortality Database and Meslé and Vallin's Ukrainian lifetables, we analyse five European epidemics and famines across three centuries. We use six measures of lifespan variation and adopt the linear integral method of decomposition. <b>Results</b>: During these crises, relative lifespan variation increases, while absolute variation declines, and subsequently both quickly revert to pre-crisis levels. We show that mortality at older ages leads to a temporary increase in absolute - but not relative - variation. The lifespan variation of females is less affected than that of males, because of differences in the impact of infant and child mortality. <b>Conclusions</b>: Even when infant mortality is high, mortality at older ages can influence lifespan variation. Our results also underscore the sex differences in the vulnerability of young individuals in periods of extreme mortality. <b>Contribution</b>: By underlining different trends of lifespan variation by sex and indicator, we offer new insight into the consequences of mortality crises. Contrary to what is often asserted, we show that the choice of lifespan variation indicator is not always inconsequential.https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/46/11historical demographylifespan variationmortalitymortality crises
spellingShingle Serena Vigezzi
Jose Manuel Aburto
Iñaki Permanyer
Virginia Zarulli
Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
Demographic Research
historical demography
lifespan variation
mortality
mortality crises
title Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
title_full Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
title_fullStr Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
title_full_unstemmed Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
title_short Divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
title_sort divergent trends in lifespan variation during mortality crises
topic historical demography
lifespan variation
mortality
mortality crises
url https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/46/11
work_keys_str_mv AT serenavigezzi divergenttrendsinlifespanvariationduringmortalitycrises
AT josemanuelaburto divergenttrendsinlifespanvariationduringmortalitycrises
AT inakipermanyer divergenttrendsinlifespanvariationduringmortalitycrises
AT virginiazarulli divergenttrendsinlifespanvariationduringmortalitycrises