An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions

Abstract Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) enables initiation of anticoagulation and early rhythm control therapy to reduce stroke, cardiovascular death, and heart failure. In a cross-sectional, observational study, we aimed to identify a combination of circulating biomolecules reflecting...

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Main Authors: Winnie Chua, Victor R. Cardoso, Eduard Guasch, Moritz F. Sinner, Christoph Al-Taie, Paul Brady, Barbara Casadei, Harry J. G. M. Crijns, Elton A. M. P. Dudink, Stéphane N. Hatem, Stefan Kääb, Peter Kastner, Lluis Mont, Frantisek Nehaj, Yanish Purmah, Jasmeet S. Reyat, Ulrich Schotten, Laura C. Sommerfeld, Stef Zeemering, André Ziegler, Georgios V. Gkoutos, Paulus Kirchhof, Larissa Fabritz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-10-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42331-7
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author Winnie Chua
Victor R. Cardoso
Eduard Guasch
Moritz F. Sinner
Christoph Al-Taie
Paul Brady
Barbara Casadei
Harry J. G. M. Crijns
Elton A. M. P. Dudink
Stéphane N. Hatem
Stefan Kääb
Peter Kastner
Lluis Mont
Frantisek Nehaj
Yanish Purmah
Jasmeet S. Reyat
Ulrich Schotten
Laura C. Sommerfeld
Stef Zeemering
André Ziegler
Georgios V. Gkoutos
Paulus Kirchhof
Larissa Fabritz
author_facet Winnie Chua
Victor R. Cardoso
Eduard Guasch
Moritz F. Sinner
Christoph Al-Taie
Paul Brady
Barbara Casadei
Harry J. G. M. Crijns
Elton A. M. P. Dudink
Stéphane N. Hatem
Stefan Kääb
Peter Kastner
Lluis Mont
Frantisek Nehaj
Yanish Purmah
Jasmeet S. Reyat
Ulrich Schotten
Laura C. Sommerfeld
Stef Zeemering
André Ziegler
Georgios V. Gkoutos
Paulus Kirchhof
Larissa Fabritz
author_sort Winnie Chua
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) enables initiation of anticoagulation and early rhythm control therapy to reduce stroke, cardiovascular death, and heart failure. In a cross-sectional, observational study, we aimed to identify a combination of circulating biomolecules reflecting different biological processes to detect prevalent AF in patients with cardiovascular conditions presenting to hospital. Twelve biomarkers identified by reviewing literature and patents were quantified on a high-precision, high-throughput platform in 1485 consecutive patients with cardiovascular conditions (median age 69 years [Q1, Q3 60, 78]; 60% male). Patients had either known AF (45%) or AF ruled out by 7-day ECG-monitoring. Logistic regression with backward elimination and a neural network approach considering 7 key clinical characteristics and 12 biomarker concentrations were applied to a randomly sampled discovery cohort (n = 933) and validated in the remaining patients (n = 552). In addition to age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), BMP10, ANGPT2, and FGF23 identified patients with prevalent AF (AUC 0.743 [95% CI 0.712, 0.775]). These circulating biomolecules represent distinct pathways associated with atrial cardiomyopathy and AF. Neural networks identified the same variables as the regression-based approach. The validation using regression yielded an AUC of 0.719 (95% CI 0.677, 0.762), corroborated using deep neural networks (AUC 0.784 [95% CI 0.745, 0.822]). Age, sex, BMI and three circulating biomolecules (BMP10, ANGPT2, FGF23) are associated with prevalent AF in unselected patients presenting to hospital. Findings should be externally validated. Results suggest that age and different disease processes approximated by these three biomolecules contribute to AF in patients. Our findings have the potential to improve screening programs for AF after external validation.
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spelling doaj.art-d1c609a3c0d54b6f920d0755d796b56f2023-11-26T13:08:42ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-10-0113111210.1038/s41598-023-42331-7An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditionsWinnie Chua0Victor R. Cardoso1Eduard Guasch2Moritz F. Sinner3Christoph Al-Taie4Paul Brady5Barbara Casadei6Harry J. G. M. Crijns7Elton A. M. P. Dudink8Stéphane N. Hatem9Stefan Kääb10Peter Kastner11Lluis Mont12Frantisek Nehaj13Yanish Purmah14Jasmeet S. Reyat15Ulrich Schotten16Laura C. Sommerfeld17Stef Zeemering18André Ziegler19Georgios V. Gkoutos20Paulus Kirchhof21Larissa Fabritz22Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamHospital Clinic de Barcelona, Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi Sunyer (IDIBAPS)Department of Medicine I, University Hospital, LMUUniversity Center of Cardiovascular Science, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-EppendorfInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamUniversity of OxfordCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht UniversityCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht UniversityIHU-ICAN Institute of Cardiometabolism and NutritionDepartment of Medicine I, University Hospital, LMURoche Diagnostics GmbHHospital Clinic de Barcelona, Institute of Biomedical Research August Pi Sunyer (IDIBAPS)Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht UniversityInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamCardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Maastricht UniversityRoche Diagnostics International AGMRC Health Data Research UK (HDR)Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of BirminghamAbstract Early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) enables initiation of anticoagulation and early rhythm control therapy to reduce stroke, cardiovascular death, and heart failure. In a cross-sectional, observational study, we aimed to identify a combination of circulating biomolecules reflecting different biological processes to detect prevalent AF in patients with cardiovascular conditions presenting to hospital. Twelve biomarkers identified by reviewing literature and patents were quantified on a high-precision, high-throughput platform in 1485 consecutive patients with cardiovascular conditions (median age 69 years [Q1, Q3 60, 78]; 60% male). Patients had either known AF (45%) or AF ruled out by 7-day ECG-monitoring. Logistic regression with backward elimination and a neural network approach considering 7 key clinical characteristics and 12 biomarker concentrations were applied to a randomly sampled discovery cohort (n = 933) and validated in the remaining patients (n = 552). In addition to age, sex, and body mass index (BMI), BMP10, ANGPT2, and FGF23 identified patients with prevalent AF (AUC 0.743 [95% CI 0.712, 0.775]). These circulating biomolecules represent distinct pathways associated with atrial cardiomyopathy and AF. Neural networks identified the same variables as the regression-based approach. The validation using regression yielded an AUC of 0.719 (95% CI 0.677, 0.762), corroborated using deep neural networks (AUC 0.784 [95% CI 0.745, 0.822]). Age, sex, BMI and three circulating biomolecules (BMP10, ANGPT2, FGF23) are associated with prevalent AF in unselected patients presenting to hospital. Findings should be externally validated. Results suggest that age and different disease processes approximated by these three biomolecules contribute to AF in patients. Our findings have the potential to improve screening programs for AF after external validation.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42331-7
spellingShingle Winnie Chua
Victor R. Cardoso
Eduard Guasch
Moritz F. Sinner
Christoph Al-Taie
Paul Brady
Barbara Casadei
Harry J. G. M. Crijns
Elton A. M. P. Dudink
Stéphane N. Hatem
Stefan Kääb
Peter Kastner
Lluis Mont
Frantisek Nehaj
Yanish Purmah
Jasmeet S. Reyat
Ulrich Schotten
Laura C. Sommerfeld
Stef Zeemering
André Ziegler
Georgios V. Gkoutos
Paulus Kirchhof
Larissa Fabritz
An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
Scientific Reports
title An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
title_full An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
title_fullStr An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
title_full_unstemmed An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
title_short An angiopoietin 2, FGF23, and BMP10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
title_sort angiopoietin 2 fgf23 and bmp10 biomarker signature differentiates atrial fibrillation from other concomitant cardiovascular conditions
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-42331-7
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