Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters

The global narrative around domestic energy security is dominated by the paradigm of import-dependent countries, and as a result the interactions of energy export activities with domestic energy systems are not generally considered. In this paper, we apply a systems approach to establish two potenti...

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Main Authors: Andrew Curtis, Benjamin McLellan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-03-01
Series:Methane
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2674-0389/3/1/12
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author Andrew Curtis
Benjamin McLellan
author_facet Andrew Curtis
Benjamin McLellan
author_sort Andrew Curtis
collection DOAJ
description The global narrative around domestic energy security is dominated by the paradigm of import-dependent countries, and as a result the interactions of energy export activities with domestic energy systems are not generally considered. In this paper, we apply a systems approach to establish two potential blind spots in evaluating the whole-of-system energy security of energy resource exporters (actual primary energy self-sufficiency and export exposure of the domestic energy system), and examine some case studies, primarily in the Australian context, to validate the existence of these blind spots. The commencement of LNG exports from the state of Queensland is examined in detail. Furthermore, we propose two novel quantitative indicators to mitigate the blind spots established. First, a revised method is proposed to calculate energy self-sufficiency, showing for the exporters studied a less secure position than shown by the traditional method. Second, an indicator is proposed to quantify the extent of exposure of the domestic energy system to international markets through export linkages, which we have applied to Australia’s domestic energy system, showing the extent of the increase in international exposure since LNG exports from Queensland commenced in 2015–2016. Conclusions of this paper include the realization that domestic energy security for energy exporters, such as Australia and the other countries examined, is more complex and, in the cases examined, less secure than importer-oriented energy security frameworks have previously recognized. A further conclusion is established that the decoupling of energy resource exports from the domestic energy system through transition to a zero-carbon energy system based on domestic renewable energy sources can be an effective means of improving Australia’s energy security.
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spelling doaj.art-d207ab58bab740e8aaab0582ec8efd5d2024-03-27T13:54:40ZengMDPI AGMethane2674-03892024-03-013119121310.3390/methane3010012Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal ExportersAndrew Curtis0Benjamin McLellan1Graduate School of Energy Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, JapanGraduate School of Energy Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, JapanThe global narrative around domestic energy security is dominated by the paradigm of import-dependent countries, and as a result the interactions of energy export activities with domestic energy systems are not generally considered. In this paper, we apply a systems approach to establish two potential blind spots in evaluating the whole-of-system energy security of energy resource exporters (actual primary energy self-sufficiency and export exposure of the domestic energy system), and examine some case studies, primarily in the Australian context, to validate the existence of these blind spots. The commencement of LNG exports from the state of Queensland is examined in detail. Furthermore, we propose two novel quantitative indicators to mitigate the blind spots established. First, a revised method is proposed to calculate energy self-sufficiency, showing for the exporters studied a less secure position than shown by the traditional method. Second, an indicator is proposed to quantify the extent of exposure of the domestic energy system to international markets through export linkages, which we have applied to Australia’s domestic energy system, showing the extent of the increase in international exposure since LNG exports from Queensland commenced in 2015–2016. Conclusions of this paper include the realization that domestic energy security for energy exporters, such as Australia and the other countries examined, is more complex and, in the cases examined, less secure than importer-oriented energy security frameworks have previously recognized. A further conclusion is established that the decoupling of energy resource exports from the domestic energy system through transition to a zero-carbon energy system based on domestic renewable energy sources can be an effective means of improving Australia’s energy security.https://www.mdpi.com/2674-0389/3/1/12energy exportsenergy securityLNG
spellingShingle Andrew Curtis
Benjamin McLellan
Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters
Methane
energy exports
energy security
LNG
title Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters
title_full Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters
title_fullStr Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters
title_full_unstemmed Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters
title_short Energy Security Blind Spots of Gas, Oil, and Coal Exporters
title_sort energy security blind spots of gas oil and coal exporters
topic energy exports
energy security
LNG
url https://www.mdpi.com/2674-0389/3/1/12
work_keys_str_mv AT andrewcurtis energysecurityblindspotsofgasoilandcoalexporters
AT benjaminmclellan energysecurityblindspotsofgasoilandcoalexporters