Enterprise growth simulation model
Simulation mathematical model of small enterprise functioning is under analysis in this article. It is assumed that annual working capital profitability and loan rate are random variables with normal distribution, the amount of borrowed capital does not exceed the amount of own working capital. Give...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
EDP Sciences
2020-01-01
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| Series: | E3S Web of Conferences |
| Online Access: | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/35/e3sconf_interagromash2020_12006.pdf |
| _version_ | 1819046210820898816 |
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| author | Avlasenko Ilona Avlasenko Lyudmila Peshkhoev Isa Podkolzin Yuri Savelyeva Oksana |
| author_facet | Avlasenko Ilona Avlasenko Lyudmila Peshkhoev Isa Podkolzin Yuri Savelyeva Oksana |
| author_sort | Avlasenko Ilona |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Simulation mathematical model of small enterprise functioning is under analysis in this article. It is assumed that annual working capital profitability and loan rate are random variables with normal distribution, the amount of borrowed capital does not exceed the amount of own working capital. Given the value of its working capital at the beginning of time, its dependence on time is constructed as a random process. The parameters of random variables are estimated based on the processing of statistical data on the previous activities of this enterprise. The implementation of the random process is statistically modeled. With the help of the statistical tests, implementations of random function of growth of own working capital are built and the probability of bankruptcy is estimated as relative frequency of cases of adoption of negative value by random function. It is proposed to use the built simulation model of the enterprise to estimate the probability of bankruptcy of the studied enterprise in the coming period (a given number ofyears). |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-21T10:40:51Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-d226e1cdf1c244e584ba8657f5fb7b3a |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2267-1242 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-21T10:40:51Z |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | EDP Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | E3S Web of Conferences |
| spelling | doaj.art-d226e1cdf1c244e584ba8657f5fb7b3a2022-12-21T19:06:56ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422020-01-011751200610.1051/e3sconf/202017512006e3sconf_interagromash2020_12006Enterprise growth simulation modelAvlasenko Ilona0Avlasenko Lyudmila1Peshkhoev Isa2Podkolzin Yuri3Savelyeva Oksana4Don State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversityDon State Technical UniversitySimulation mathematical model of small enterprise functioning is under analysis in this article. It is assumed that annual working capital profitability and loan rate are random variables with normal distribution, the amount of borrowed capital does not exceed the amount of own working capital. Given the value of its working capital at the beginning of time, its dependence on time is constructed as a random process. The parameters of random variables are estimated based on the processing of statistical data on the previous activities of this enterprise. The implementation of the random process is statistically modeled. With the help of the statistical tests, implementations of random function of growth of own working capital are built and the probability of bankruptcy is estimated as relative frequency of cases of adoption of negative value by random function. It is proposed to use the built simulation model of the enterprise to estimate the probability of bankruptcy of the studied enterprise in the coming period (a given number ofyears).https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/35/e3sconf_interagromash2020_12006.pdf |
| spellingShingle | Avlasenko Ilona Avlasenko Lyudmila Peshkhoev Isa Podkolzin Yuri Savelyeva Oksana Enterprise growth simulation model E3S Web of Conferences |
| title | Enterprise growth simulation model |
| title_full | Enterprise growth simulation model |
| title_fullStr | Enterprise growth simulation model |
| title_full_unstemmed | Enterprise growth simulation model |
| title_short | Enterprise growth simulation model |
| title_sort | enterprise growth simulation model |
| url | https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2020/35/e3sconf_interagromash2020_12006.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT avlasenkoilona enterprisegrowthsimulationmodel AT avlasenkolyudmila enterprisegrowthsimulationmodel AT peshkhoevisa enterprisegrowthsimulationmodel AT podkolzinyuri enterprisegrowthsimulationmodel AT savelyevaoksana enterprisegrowthsimulationmodel |