Foresight of Volga Federal District Innovation System Development using a Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm
The application of simulation modeling in public administration is under study at the level of interregional interaction in specific federal districts. The main indicator for development success of a particular federal district is the natural growth of its population. For this purpose, a model...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Universitas Indonesia
2020-12-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Technology |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://ijtech.eng.ui.ac.id/article/view/4432 |
| Summary: | The
application of simulation modeling in public administration is under study at
the level of interregional interaction in specific federal districts. The main
indicator for development success of a particular federal district is the
natural growth of its population. For this
purpose, a model of foresight of federal district innovation system development
based on the use of a multi-objective genetic algorithm was proposed. Stages of
this foresight included preparation of statistical data for clusters, obtaining
predictive functions for clusters and Pareto frontiers of predictive functions,
and planning synergy effects of clusters of regions and the entire federal
district. In this case, to increase the synergy effect of a federal district,
investment resources and research and development (R&D) costs were planted
to be redirected to those regions where economic and financial resources are
insufficient. This will eventually increase the average per capita income of
the population in the regions of the federal district, which will lead to
population growth in these regions. If R&D costs are redistributed, there
are also information and logistics interactions that confirm the practical
effectiveness of the open innovation model within the federal district. For the
Volga Federal District, this foresight resulted in its total positive reserve
for R&D in the amount of 8,412 million rubles. It should be forwarded to
the Samara Region. Then, the synergy effect of the whole Volga Federal District
will be equal to 429,344 million rubles.
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| ISSN: | 2086-9614 2087-2100 |