A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability

The torpedo discovery probability is associated with launch situation before homing torpedo launched. In order to meet the need, a method for predicting the tendency probability change is proposed. The torpedo launch situation prediction model is built according to the current attack situation,and t...

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Main Author: SHI Yanshan
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Command Control and Simulation 2024-04-01
Series:Zhihui kongzhi yu fangzhen
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.zhkzyfz.cn/fileup/1673-3819/PDF/1711964765005-937275437.pdf
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author SHI Yanshan
author_facet SHI Yanshan
author_sort SHI Yanshan
collection DOAJ
description The torpedo discovery probability is associated with launch situation before homing torpedo launched. In order to meet the need, a method for predicting the tendency probability change is proposed. The torpedo launch situation prediction model is built according to the current attack situation,and the torpedo launch situation sequence is generated. Based on the principle of normal distribution, target dispersion is processed. The area ratio method is used to calculate the single launch point discovery probability of acoustic homing torpedo, and length ratio method is used for wake homing torpedo. Based on the above processing methods, the continuous discovery probability of homing torpedo at launch time is calculated, and the trend chart is generated. Finally, the prediction result of finding probability variation trend of homing torpedo is tested and verified by using typical launch situation.
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spelling doaj.art-d2f83bd924db41eeb35b7669330de0ca2024-04-02T09:51:41ZzhoEditorial Office of Command Control and SimulationZhihui kongzhi yu fangzhen1673-38192024-04-0146213514010.3969/j.issn.1673-3819.2024.02.019A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probabilitySHI Yanshan0Jiangsu Automation Research Institute, Lianyungang 222061, ChinaThe torpedo discovery probability is associated with launch situation before homing torpedo launched. In order to meet the need, a method for predicting the tendency probability change is proposed. The torpedo launch situation prediction model is built according to the current attack situation,and the torpedo launch situation sequence is generated. Based on the principle of normal distribution, target dispersion is processed. The area ratio method is used to calculate the single launch point discovery probability of acoustic homing torpedo, and length ratio method is used for wake homing torpedo. Based on the above processing methods, the continuous discovery probability of homing torpedo at launch time is calculated, and the trend chart is generated. Finally, the prediction result of finding probability variation trend of homing torpedo is tested and verified by using typical launch situation.https://www.zhkzyfz.cn/fileup/1673-3819/PDF/1711964765005-937275437.pdfhoming torpedo|situation forecast|discovery probability
spellingShingle SHI Yanshan
A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
Zhihui kongzhi yu fangzhen
homing torpedo|situation forecast|discovery probability
title A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
title_full A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
title_fullStr A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
title_full_unstemmed A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
title_short A method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
title_sort method for predicting the change trend of homing torpedo discovery probability
topic homing torpedo|situation forecast|discovery probability
url https://www.zhkzyfz.cn/fileup/1673-3819/PDF/1711964765005-937275437.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT shiyanshan amethodforpredictingthechangetrendofhomingtorpedodiscoveryprobability
AT shiyanshan methodforpredictingthechangetrendofhomingtorpedodiscoveryprobability