Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017

Objective To explore associations between temperature, humidity and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence in Guangzhou, China from 2013 to 2017. Methods A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the effects of daily temperature and humidity on HFMD incidence after adjusting...

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Main Authors: Chun Chen, Qinqin Jiang, Zhuangzhi Song, Yilan Li, Hui Wang, Ying Lu, Dahu Wang, Meixia Li, Tiegang Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SAGE Publishing 2020-06-01
Series:Journal of International Medical Research
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1177/0300060520929895
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author Chun Chen
Qinqin Jiang
Zhuangzhi Song
Yilan Li
Hui Wang
Ying Lu
Dahu Wang
Meixia Li
Tiegang Li
author_facet Chun Chen
Qinqin Jiang
Zhuangzhi Song
Yilan Li
Hui Wang
Ying Lu
Dahu Wang
Meixia Li
Tiegang Li
author_sort Chun Chen
collection DOAJ
description Objective To explore associations between temperature, humidity and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence in Guangzhou, China from 2013 to 2017. Methods A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the effects of daily temperature and humidity on HFMD incidence after adjusting for long-term trends, seasonal trends, and day of the week. Results In total, 353,431 confirmed HFMD cases were reported in Guangzhou over the study period. A bimodal seasonal pattern was observed. High temperatures had acute short-term effects on HFMD incidence that declined quickly over time. The effects of low humidity declined over lag periods, but increased when the humidity surpassed 60.5%. Temperature and humidity were both inversely associated with HFMD incidence during lag days 0 to 3 and with lag periods Conclusions Temperature and humidity play important roles in HFMD incidence. These data are important for developing public health strategies.
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spelling doaj.art-d35bece70a644c39bd37345bc360dc972022-12-21T19:12:56ZengSAGE PublishingJournal of International Medical Research1473-23002020-06-014810.1177/0300060520929895Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017Chun ChenQinqin JiangZhuangzhi SongYilan LiHui WangYing LuDahu WangMeixia LiTiegang LiObjective To explore associations between temperature, humidity and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence in Guangzhou, China from 2013 to 2017. Methods A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the effects of daily temperature and humidity on HFMD incidence after adjusting for long-term trends, seasonal trends, and day of the week. Results In total, 353,431 confirmed HFMD cases were reported in Guangzhou over the study period. A bimodal seasonal pattern was observed. High temperatures had acute short-term effects on HFMD incidence that declined quickly over time. The effects of low humidity declined over lag periods, but increased when the humidity surpassed 60.5%. Temperature and humidity were both inversely associated with HFMD incidence during lag days 0 to 3 and with lag periods Conclusions Temperature and humidity play important roles in HFMD incidence. These data are important for developing public health strategies.https://doi.org/10.1177/0300060520929895
spellingShingle Chun Chen
Qinqin Jiang
Zhuangzhi Song
Yilan Li
Hui Wang
Ying Lu
Dahu Wang
Meixia Li
Tiegang Li
Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
Journal of International Medical Research
title Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
title_full Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
title_fullStr Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
title_full_unstemmed Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
title_short Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
title_sort influence of temperature and humidity on hand foot and mouth disease in guangzhou 2013 2017
url https://doi.org/10.1177/0300060520929895
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