Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017
Objective To explore associations between temperature, humidity and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence in Guangzhou, China from 2013 to 2017. Methods A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the effects of daily temperature and humidity on HFMD incidence after adjusting...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
SAGE Publishing
2020-06-01
|
Series: | Journal of International Medical Research |
Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1177/0300060520929895 |
_version_ | 1819030634537943040 |
---|---|
author | Chun Chen Qinqin Jiang Zhuangzhi Song Yilan Li Hui Wang Ying Lu Dahu Wang Meixia Li Tiegang Li |
author_facet | Chun Chen Qinqin Jiang Zhuangzhi Song Yilan Li Hui Wang Ying Lu Dahu Wang Meixia Li Tiegang Li |
author_sort | Chun Chen |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Objective To explore associations between temperature, humidity and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence in Guangzhou, China from 2013 to 2017. Methods A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the effects of daily temperature and humidity on HFMD incidence after adjusting for long-term trends, seasonal trends, and day of the week. Results In total, 353,431 confirmed HFMD cases were reported in Guangzhou over the study period. A bimodal seasonal pattern was observed. High temperatures had acute short-term effects on HFMD incidence that declined quickly over time. The effects of low humidity declined over lag periods, but increased when the humidity surpassed 60.5%. Temperature and humidity were both inversely associated with HFMD incidence during lag days 0 to 3 and with lag periods Conclusions Temperature and humidity play important roles in HFMD incidence. These data are important for developing public health strategies. |
first_indexed | 2024-12-21T06:33:16Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-d35bece70a644c39bd37345bc360dc97 |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1473-2300 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-12-21T06:33:16Z |
publishDate | 2020-06-01 |
publisher | SAGE Publishing |
record_format | Article |
series | Journal of International Medical Research |
spelling | doaj.art-d35bece70a644c39bd37345bc360dc972022-12-21T19:12:56ZengSAGE PublishingJournal of International Medical Research1473-23002020-06-014810.1177/0300060520929895Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017Chun ChenQinqin JiangZhuangzhi SongYilan LiHui WangYing LuDahu WangMeixia LiTiegang LiObjective To explore associations between temperature, humidity and hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) incidence in Guangzhou, China from 2013 to 2017. Methods A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the effects of daily temperature and humidity on HFMD incidence after adjusting for long-term trends, seasonal trends, and day of the week. Results In total, 353,431 confirmed HFMD cases were reported in Guangzhou over the study period. A bimodal seasonal pattern was observed. High temperatures had acute short-term effects on HFMD incidence that declined quickly over time. The effects of low humidity declined over lag periods, but increased when the humidity surpassed 60.5%. Temperature and humidity were both inversely associated with HFMD incidence during lag days 0 to 3 and with lag periods Conclusions Temperature and humidity play important roles in HFMD incidence. These data are important for developing public health strategies.https://doi.org/10.1177/0300060520929895 |
spellingShingle | Chun Chen Qinqin Jiang Zhuangzhi Song Yilan Li Hui Wang Ying Lu Dahu Wang Meixia Li Tiegang Li Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017 Journal of International Medical Research |
title | Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017 |
title_full | Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017 |
title_fullStr | Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017 |
title_full_unstemmed | Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017 |
title_short | Influence of temperature and humidity on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangzhou, 2013–2017 |
title_sort | influence of temperature and humidity on hand foot and mouth disease in guangzhou 2013 2017 |
url | https://doi.org/10.1177/0300060520929895 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT chunchen influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT qinqinjiang influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT zhuangzhisong influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT yilanli influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT huiwang influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT yinglu influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT dahuwang influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT meixiali influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 AT tiegangli influenceoftemperatureandhumidityonhandfootandmouthdiseaseinguangzhou20132017 |